[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 150039
SWODY1
SPC AC 150037

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0637 PM CST MON MAR 14 2005

VALID 150100Z - 151200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N BRO 15 W ALI 30
N SAT 25 SE SEP 10 ESE DAL 35 NNW GGG 25 NW ESF 35 S HUM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N PBI 20 WSW AGR
20 NNW PIE ...CONT... 30 WNW CTY 10 SSE VLD 25 WSW AYS 10 NNE SSI.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE DMN 35 W TCS
60 S GNT 25 S GNT 25 E GNT 35 SE SAF 50 S LVS 50 ENE 4CR 25 WNW CNM
45 W MRF.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...FAR SE GA/FAR NRN FL...
ISOLATED STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD REACHING THE IMMEDIATE
COAST OF GA AND NE FL WITHIN 1-2 HOURS. A MARGINAL HAIL AND/OR WIND
DAMAGE THREAT MAY EXIST BEFORE THE CELLS WEAKEN DUE TO
DESTABILIZATION. THUNDERSTORMS MAY AGAIN DEVELOP AS A COLD FRONT
SLOWLY MOVES INTO NRN FL THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...WEAKENING
INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL AFTER 02Z.

...NM/FAR W TX...
ISOLATED STORMS WILL CONTINUE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION POSSIBLY DEVELOPING ACROSS THE MTNS OF SRN NM AND FAR
WEST TX THIS EVENING. ALTHOUGH LAPSE RATES ARE STEEP...WEAK
INSTABILITY SHOULD KEEP CONVECTION FROM BECOMING SEVERE.

...SRN AND EAST TX...
A SLY LOW-LEVEL JET IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH AND EAST TX
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS WILL INCREASE ISENTROPIC LIFT ABOVE
A SHALLOW COOL DOME WITH A FEW ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN
THE MIDDLE TX COASTAL PLAINS AND SPREADING NEWD ACROSS THE REGION.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR WITH 500 MB TEMPS
AROUND -16C. THIS SHOULD BE ENOUGH FOR HAIL WITH THE STRONGER CELLS.
HOWEVER..THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN MARGINAL THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE STORMS SPREAD NEWD INTO EAST TX BY LATE
TONIGHT.

..BROYLES.. 03/15/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.