[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 111925
SWODY1
SPC AC 111924

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0124 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2005

VALID 112000Z - 121200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE
ECG 30 ENE RWI 45 NNW RWI 20 W RIC 20 NE WAL.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW CHS 20 SE AGS
25 N SPA 25 S SSU 35 WNW DCA 20 NW DOV 30 S ACY.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS NERN NC AND SERN VA...

...SYNOPSIS...


MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS/PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH WARM
CONVEYOR HAS LIMITED HEATING ACROSS SERN VA AND MUCH OF THE ERN
CAROLINAS THIS AFTERNOON.  AS A RESULT...DEEPENING CONVECTION HAS
BEEN CONFINED TO THAT REGION ALONG/EAST OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN WHERE
AN AXIS OF PARTIAL SUNSHINE HAS NOW GIVEN WAY TO ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF ADVANCING COLD FRONT.  VERY COLD TEMPERATURES
ALOFT WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION THIS AFTERNOON
WHICH SHOULD ALLOW ONGOING CONVECTION TO MOVE TOWARD COASTAL VA/NC
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.  LIMITED MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WILL
PROVE DETRIMENTAL TO WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...HOWEVER
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS/ORGANIZED LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION MAY YET
PRODUCE MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS GIVEN THE SHEAR WITHIN THE
STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT.

..DARROW.. 03/11/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.