[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 120053
SWODY1
SPC AC 120052

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0652 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2005

VALID 120100Z - 121200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE CRE 35 ESE FAY
20 ESE RWI 45 W ECG 15 NE ORF.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...ONE STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH WAS MOVING
THOUGH THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...WHILE ANOTHER STRONG SYSTEM WAS
DROPPING SEWD THROUGH WI. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED IN ERN PA
WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SWWD THROUGH THE CAROLINAS INTO THE FL
PANHANDLE. A SURFACE LOW WAS ALSO LOCATED IN THE NRN GREAT LAKES
AREA WITH AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT STRETCHING WWD FROM THIS LOW ACROSS
SRN MN AND THEN NWWD ACROSS THE DAKOTAS.

...ERN NC/SERN VA...
WEAK CONVECTION MOVING THROUGH ERN NC AND EXTREME SERN VA WILL MOVE
OFFSHORE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH SWEEPS
EWD ACROSS THE AREA. DESPITE THE STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND STEEP
LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...LIMITED MOISTURE/INSTABILITY HAS THUS FAR
INHIBITED STRONG UPDRAFTS. WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...THE
WIND THREAT APPEARS OVER. 

...WI/NRN IL...
A COUPLE OF LIGHTNING STRIKES WERE RECENTLY NOTED ACROSS WRN WI IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH. QUITE A
DIFFERENCE WAS NOTED WITH THE LAPSE RATES ON THE MSP AND GRB EVENING
SOUNDINGS...WITH CONSIDERABLY COLDER AIR IN THE 500-700 MB LAYER AT
GRB. DESPITE THE RELATIVELY STEEP LAPSE RATES AT GRB...NO CAPE WAS
INDICATED. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE INSTABILITY WILL BE NEAR ZERO
AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH HEADS SEWD INTO IL...SO THUNDER AREA IS NOT
FORECAST.

..IMY.. 03/12/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.