[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 070112
SWODY1
SPC AC 070110

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0710 PM CST SUN MAR 06 2005

VALID 070100Z - 071200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE SAN 45 NNE SAN
25 SE RAL 10 SSE RAL 15 W DAG 50 NNE IGM 60 SE PGA 4SL 45 NE CVS 35
SE PVW 35 SSE LTS 25 W OKC 30 W END 30 NW P28 35 SSW BIE 30 ENE SUX
20 NE SPW 45 N MSN 45 SE MBL 15 SSE MBS 25 SSE FNT 20 NW DAY 45 ENE
PAH 30 SSW DYR 30 ENE LIT 15 WSW TXK 50 ESE ACT 50 SW CLL 30 NNE VCT
50 SSE VCT.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SERN NM INTO SWRN TX...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATED A WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER SRN NM
INTO CHIHUAHUA WITH STRONG MID-UPPER LEVEL FLOW EXTENDING FROM NRN
MEXICO INTO CENTRAL TX.  SURFACE ANALYSIS/00Z SOUNDINGS INDICATED AN
AXIS OF DEEPER MOISTURE EXTENDED FROM SRN TX NWD ACROSS CENTRAL TX
INTO OK.  LARGE SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE NM/CHIHUAHUA TROUGH
WILL SPREAD EWD ACROSS WRN/SWRN TX TONIGHT SUPPORTING ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.  THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED
SEVERE STORMS...ALTHOUGH SMALL...SHOULD BE OVER SWRN TX FROM AROUND
SJT TO DRT AREA AS THE UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION AND STEEP LAPSE RATES
SPREAD EWD ACROSS THE LOW LEVEL MOIST AXIS.  WEAK INSTABILITY WILL
BE THE LIMITING FACTOR FOR A GREATER SEVERE THREAT...DESPITE STRONG
DEEP LAYER SHEAR OVER THIS REGION.

...EAST CENTRAL PLAINS TO MID MS VALLEY...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG A SURFACE TROUGH/DRY
LINE EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL KS INTO NWRN IA AS UPWARD VERTICAL
MOTION ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORT WAVE TROUGH LOCATED NOW OVER SRN NEB/
NRN KS SPREADS SEWD.  SWLY LLJ EXTENDING FROM THE SRN PLAINS NEWD
ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY WILL STRENGTHEN FURTHER TONIGHT AS HEIGHTS
FALL IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING SEWD ACROSS THE
NRN/CENTRAL PLAINS AND UPPER MS VALLEY.  LARGE SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF
THIS STRONG TROUGH COMBINED WITH LOW LEVEL ASCENT WITHIN WAA ALONG
THE LLJ AND ALONG A COLD FRONT PUSHING SEWD ACROSS THIS REGION
OVERNIGHT WILL SUPPORT ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  A PLUME
OF STEEP LAPSE RATES SPREADING EWD WITH THE TROUGH AND SUFFICIENT
DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH
HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT.

...LOWER CO VALLEY/AZ/WRN NM...
OVERALL SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH FROM THE LOWER CO
RIVER VALLEY AND EWD TO SWRN NM AS THE AIR MASS STABILIZES THIS
FORECAST PERIOD WITH THE LOSS OF DAY TIME HEATING.

..PETERS.. 03/07/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.