[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 040039
SWODY1
SPC AC 040037

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0637 PM CST THU MAR 03 2005

VALID 040100Z - 041200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW FMY 15 S PBI.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE FYV 20 NW MKO
30 SE PNC 10 SE ICT 30 NW EMP 20 W FLV 45 S IRK 30 S DEC 25 SSW HUF
30 NE OWB 25 NNE HOP 45 ENE DYR 20 ESE FYV.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE BGS ROW 15 NNE
ONM 40 WSW ABQ 30 SW 4SL 25 NNW 4SL 35 SW ALS 35 ESE ALS 35 SSW EHA
40 NNE CSM 35 E FSI 20 NE MWL BWD 25 SE BGS.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...W AND NW TX THROUGH SW OK...

THE STRONG VORT MAX CURRENTLY OVER NM WILL CONTINUE ESEWD THROUGH W
AND NW TX TONIGHT. HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE WITHIN ZONE OF
ASCENT ACCOMPANYING THE IMPULSE FROM ERN NM INTO THE NRN PARTS OF W
TX. ACTIVITY IS DEVELOPING WITHIN A STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT
WHERE SURFACE HEATING HAS PROMOTED A WELL MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER. THE
STORMS MAY CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS THEY MOVE EAST AND INTERCEPT
SLIGHTLY BETTER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS NW TX. HOWEVER...MARGINAL
INSTABILITY WILL CONTINUE TO SERVE AS THE MAIN LIMITING FACTOR FOR
MORE THAN VERY ISOLATED SEVERE EVENTS. PRIMARY THREAT WILL ISOLATED
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS
THROUGH MID EVENING.

...ERN KS THROUGH CNTRL AND SRN MO...

ASCENT ACCOMPANYING SHORTWAVE TROUGH DROPPING SEWD THROUGH ERN
KS/WRN MO WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE
EVENING. MEAGER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS LIMITING THE MAGNITUDE OF
INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...STEEP LAPSE RATES...COLD AIR ALOFT...AND
STRONG 0-6 KM SHEAR IS SUPPORTING AN ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTIVE OF
UPDRAFT ROTATION AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL. ALSO...LOW LEVEL
TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT SPREADS APPEAR SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT THREAT OF
ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS. THE ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE ESEWD THROUGH
THE MID MS VALLEY TONIGHT...BUT INTENSITIES SHOULD DECREASE LATER
THIS EVENING AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER BEGINS TO STABILIZE.

..DIAL.. 03/04/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.