[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 030058
SWODY1
SPC AC 030057

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0657 PM CST WED MAR 02 2005

VALID 030100Z - 031200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE LAS 40 NNE DRA
40 N TPH 30 N U31 25 E BAM 40 W ENV 35 WNW DPG 50 ESE U24 30 ENE U17
65 ESE PGA 30 E GCN 55 ENE LAS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ESE P07 60 ENE P07
30 SW SJT 20 E SJT 45 SSW BWD 40 NW AUS 30 SE AUS 45 WNW HOU 20 NW
BPT 30 ENE LCH 25 N BVE.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CNTRL THROUGH S TX...

THE MCS HAS MOVED OFFSHORE WITH TRAILING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDING
FROM THE NW GULF WWD THROUGH S TX FROM CORPUS CHRISTI TO NEAR
LAREDO. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE NEXT FEW HOURS IN
VICINITY OF THIS BOUNDARY. RAOBS FROM CRP AND BRO SHOW THE WARM
SECTOR OVER S TX TO BE ONLY MARGINALLY UNSTABLE WITH MODEST LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE AND PRESENCE OF A MID LEVEL INVERSION. AS HEATING
SUBSIDES...CONVECTIVE INITIATION ALONG THE BOUNDARY SHOULD BECOME
LESS LIKELY.

ISOLATED STORMS ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS IN POST
FRONTAL ZONE OVER SW TX BETWEEN DEL RIO AND SAN ANGELO WHERE STEEP
LAPSE RATES HAVE OVERSPREAD MODEST MOIST AXIS...RESULTING IN
MARGINAL INSTABILITY. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH LATER THIS
EVENING.

...SRN NV THROUGH SW UT...

PRESENCE OF STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH
STRONG VORT MAX DROPPING SEWD TOWARD THE GREAT BASIN AREA WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NEXT 
FEW HOURS.


...KS AND OK...

AN AREA OF ASCENT ACCOMPANYING VORT MAX DROPPING SEWD THROUGH WRN KS
IS SUPPORTING HIGH BASED CONVECTION FROM SWRN KS INTO NWRN OK.
HOWEVER...LIMITED INSTABILITY SUGGESTS ANY LIGHTNING WITH THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN VERY ISOLATED.

..DIAL.. 03/03/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.