[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 021621
SWODY1
SPC AC 021620

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1020 AM CST WED MAR 02 2005

VALID 021630Z - 031200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W TPH 25 ENE NFL
WMC 40 NNE EKO 35 SSE U24 20 SW PGA 35 WSW GCN 10 E LAS 25 W TPH.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 W COT 25 N SJT 35
NW MWL 40 SW TXK 15 ESE HEZ 25 N BVE.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CENTRAL/SRN TX...
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WHICH HAS AIDED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LAST
NIGHT/THIS MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL TX WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT
SHIFTS EWD INTO THE MID-SOUTH TODAY.  LEADING EDGE OF CONVECTION NOW
MOVING INTO THE TX COASTAL PLAIN WILL MOVE OFFSHORE...THOUGH 
OUTFLOW/SURFACE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY
REMAIN STALLED IN AN E-W FASHION FROM THE COASTAL BEND REGION INTO
THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. SRN STREAM REMAINS ACROSS SOUTH TX WITH
MODEST WLY MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW...WHILE WEAK SRN STREAM IMPULSE NOW
MOVING ACROSS NRN MEXICO MAY BE ABLE TO AID DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS LATER TODAY AND THIS EVENING.  MITIGATING FACTOR FOR
RENEWED DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE THE MARGINAL
INSTABILITY...GIVEN THE EXTENSIVE CLOUDINESS AND ONLY MODEST GULF
MOISTURE RETURN.  HOWEVER...SHEAR WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR A LOW
PROBABILITY THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD NEW STORMS
DEVELOP.

..EVANS/BROYLES.. 03/02/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.