[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 140106
SWODY1
SPC AC 140104

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0804 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

VALID 140100Z - 141200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW
TOL 15 SW FDY LUK 25 S SDF 25 WNW HOP 45 SW ARG 30 SSE PRX SEP 15
WNW ABI 65 S CDS 65 SE CDS ADM 25 E TUL 15 NW CNU 15 NNW STJ 50 SE
OMA 20 E OFK 35 SSE MHE 15 WNW ATY 30 SE FAR 35 NNE BRD 25 SW IWD 35
NE GRB 35 W MKG 20 NNW TOL.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM AQQ 35 W MCN 15 WSW
ATL 45 NNE HKY 15 E LYH 30 SW MRB 30 SW MGW 10 ENE HTS 55 NNW HSV 40
SSW ELD 30 NW AUS 50 NW LRD ...CONT... 95 SSE MRF 20 SE MAF 20 ENE
LBB 10 SW CDS 20 ESE LTS 30 E OKC 15 SE FNB 40 W BIE 25 NE LBF 30 E
RAP 40 E MLS 70 NW GGW.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE JAX 30 ESE SRQ
30 E FMY 30 NNE MIA.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NW CTB 30 SSE FCA
30 SSE 3TH 40 NE PUW 20 NW GEG 40 NW 63S.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE
CENTRAL CONUS...

...MID AND UPPER MS / LOWER OH VALLEYS SWWD INTO ERN OK / N TX...
TWO ENHANCED AREAS OF SEVERE THREAT EXIST ATTM -- ONE OVER IA / MN
AND VICINITY WITHIN CIRCULATION OF UPPER LOW...AND THE OTHER IN A
BROKEN BAND FROM IL SWWD INTO N TX.

WITHIN THE NRN AREA -- OVER IA / MN AND VICINITY...GREATEST THREAT
WILL REMAIN MARGINALLY-SEVERE HAIL AND PERHAPS A COUPLE OF BRIEF /
WEAK TORNADOES.  THREAT IN THIS AREA SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE
NIGHT GIVEN STRENGTH OF UPPER SYSTEM AND DEGREE OF INSTABILITY.

FURTHER S...BOW ECHO HAS EVOLVED ACROSS IL...AND SHOULD CONTINUE
MOVING NEWD INTO INDIANA.  INSTABILITY DECREASES WITH EWD EXTENT --
PARTICULARLY E OF INDIANA...BUT STRONG DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A THREAT FOR STRONG / DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL
FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

MORE SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS SHOULD PERSIST SWWD ACROSS MO -- ALONG
WITH ASSOCIATED THREAT FOR HAIL / DAMAGING WINDS AND AN ISOLATED
TORNADO GIVEN FAVORABLE COMBINATION OF SHEAR AND INSTABILITY IN
PLACE. THOUGH STORMS ARE MORE NUMEROUS FROM SWRN MO SWWD INTO N
TX...SHEAR DECREASES WITH SWD EXTENT ACROSS THIS REGION. 
NONETHELESS...EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS FROM SERN OK INTO N TX
SHOULD ALLOW CONVECTION TO CONTINUE WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS...ALONG WITH ASSOCIATED THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS.

...THE NORTHEAST...
CLUSTERS OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST ATTM ACROSS PARTS OF THE
NORTHEAST...PARTICULARLY ACROSS NY AHEAD OF REMNANTS OF ARLENE --
NOW OVER SRN ONTARIO.  THOUGH DIURNAL COOLING / STABILIZATION OF
BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO A SLOW DECREASE IN STORM
INTENSITY...A LINGERING / LOW-END SEVERE THREAT MAY PERSIST FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

..GOSS.. 06/14/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.