[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 130104
SWODY1
SPC AC 130102

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0802 PM CDT SUN JUN 12 2005

VALID 130100Z - 131200Z

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE
CDS 20 WNW TUL 20 W MLC 25 ENE SPS 30 WSW MWL 30 SSE ABI 50 W ABI 75
NW ABI 25 NE CDS.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE
P07 40 ENE BGS 40 WNW CDS 35 WSW EHA 35 SSW LAA 25 NE LAA 25 WSW HLC
40 SSE HLC 35 WNW P28 30 W CSM 25 N BVO 30 NNE MKC 45 WNW LWD 20 SSE
FOD 30 N CID MLI 40 SSW TBN 35 SSE PGO 45 NE JCT 65 W COT.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE
SDF 10 SSE BMG 20 N BMG 20 SSW MIE 25 SSW DAY 35 ESE LUK 25 NNW JKL
35 SE LOZ 45 N CSV 40 SW LEX 20 NNE SDF.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NNE MOT 50 SE JMS
35 WSW PIR FSD 25 WNW RST 40 SSW IMT 30 NW ANJ ...CONT... 15 WSW ISP
25 S BGM 15 SSW ERI FDY 30 S UNI 15 NNW HKY 20 ESE SAV ...CONT... 30
WNW PFN 10 E CHA 40 ESE OWB 15 S MVN 35 WSW POF 10 S TXK 50 NW AUS
35 NW LRD ...CONT... 15 SSW P07 10 N BGS RTN 30 SE DRO 20 N U28 35
ENE EVW 45 E 3HT 40 NE CTB.

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SWRN
OK / WRN N TX...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE LOWER MO / MID MS
VALLEYS SWWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID OH
VALLEY REGION...

...CENTRAL / SRN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MO / MID MS VALLEYS...
POTENTIALLY TORNADIC SUPERCELL CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY SEWD OUT OF
STONEWALL AND INTO NRN FISHER / NRN JONES COUNTIES IN WRN N TX. 
WITH MOST FAVORABLE COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND SHEAR INDICATED
ACROSS THIS REGION...TORNADO THREAT -- ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FOR
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS -- WILL LIKELY PERSIST FOR AT LEAST
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS ACROSS THIS AREA.

FURTHER N...ARCING BAND OF STORMS EXTENDS FROM SRN IA SWD ACROSS WRN
MO...SWWD INTO NERN OK...THEN WSWWD INTO SWRN OK.  STRONGEST PORTION
OF THIS BROKEN LINE OF STORMS EXTENDS FROM SWRN MO / SERN KS SWWD
INTO SWRN OK.  MODERATE INSTABILITY REMAINS IN PLACE AHEAD OF THIS
CONVECTION...AND THUS EXPECT THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL
ALONG WITH POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED TORNADO TO CONTINUE.  THREAT SHOULD
CONTINUE / SHIFT EWD THROUGH THE PERIOD AS LOW-LEVEL JET VEERS /
REDEVELOPS EWD WITH TIME AHEAD OF UPPER TROUGH.

...SERN INDIANA / SWRN OH / CENTRAL AND ERN KY...
REMNANT CIRCULATION CENTER OF ARLENE IS NOW INDICATED ACROSS SRN
IN...WITH STRONGEST LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD OVER SERN INDIANA / SWRN OH
/ CENTRAL AND ERN KY ATTM.  GIVEN DEGREE OF SHEAR AND MOIST
LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS...LIMITED TORNADO THREAT MAY CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
FEW HOURS.  GREATEST THREAT WILL EXIST WITHIN N-S BAND OF STORMS NOW
SHIFTING SLOWLY NEWD ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND ERN KY / SERN
INDIANA INTO SWRN OH.

..GOSS.. 06/13/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.