[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 030054
SWODY1
SPC AC 030053

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0753 PM CDT THU JUN 02 2005

VALID 030100Z - 031200Z

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S
LIC 40 SE AKO 10 SSE IML 30 NNE MCK 15 SSE EAR 20 NNE CNK 20 S SLN
20 NNW P28 30 NNW LBL 25 NNW LHX 15 S LIC.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 S
MRF 35 E CNM 35 WNW PVW 35 E DHT 40 W EHA 25 SSW PUB COS 35 ENE DEN
15 SSW SNY 9V9 10 NNW HON 15 SW ATY 40 NE BKX 25 WSW RWF 15 SSE OTG
40 SSW SPW 30 S TOP 35 W MKO 10 SE ADM 40 E SJT 15 SE DRT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSW TUS 35 W SOW
15 S FMN 25 NW CEZ 35 SW BCE 20 S P38 45 NE TPH 35 NNE U31 55 W BOI
35 ESE BKE 55 SSE S80 15 ESE DLN 10 W LVM 40 WNW 3HT 60 N 3DU 30 E
GEG 45 W GEG 50 WNW 4OM ...CONT... 80 E ELO 30 ESE MSP 30 SSE FOD 20
ESE MKC 30 SSW PGO 45 SSW TYR 30 S AUS 25 NW LRD.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W CDR 40 NNE CDR
20 N PHP 45 WSW MBG 40 SSE Y22 40 WSW REJ 55 SW COD 45 NE MLD EVW 40
WNW VEL 45 NNW LAR 25 W CDR.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S 7R4 25 SE MLU 60
W MEM 15 NNE MDH 10 SE BMG 20 NW LUK 20 SW 5I3 35 E DAN 35 SE ECG.

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM ERN CO...ACROSS MUCH OF
KS...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK FROM
THE BIG BEND REGION OF TX...NWD INTO SERN SD...

...CENTRAL PLAINS...

LONG LIVED TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ARE SPREADING EWD ALONG THE I-70
CORRIDOR OF ERN CO.  FAVORABLE MOIST LOW LEVEL INFLOW INTO THIS
ACTIVITY WILL MAINTAIN EWD PROPAGATION INTO NWRN KS OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS.  IN ADDITION...STRENGTHENING LLJ INTO NRN KS SUGGESTS AN
UPWARD EVOLVING CLUSTER OF SUPERCELLS SHOULD WITH TIME BEGIN TO
PRODUCE STRONG WINDS.  DAMAGING SQUALL LINE MAY EMERGE OVER NCNTRL
KS BY 06Z AS RETREATING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY REORIENTS ITSELF ACROSS
THIS PORTION OF KS.  FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS...STRONG INSTABILITY AND
VERY FAVORABLE SHEAR PROFILES CONTINUE TO SUPPORT TORNADIC
SUPERCELLS...A FEW POSSIBLY STRONG ACROSS ECNTRL CO INTO WRN KS.

FARTHER SOUTH...CONVECTION STRUGGLED ALONG DRY LINE SURGE INTO SWRN
KS.  THIS ACTIVITY HAS SINCE DISSIPATED...POSSIBLY DUE TO WEAK
RIDGING ALOFT. HOWEVER...UPSLOPE FLOW INTO SERN CO MAY INDUCE
ADDITIONAL STORMS WHICH COULD SPREAD BACK INTO THIS PORTION OF KS
LATER THIS EVENING.  LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SRN KS/NRN OK LATE.


...SRN PLAINS...

STRONG SRN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS EJECTING EWD ACROSS NRN
MEXICO.  THIS FEATURE IS WELL DEFINED IN BOTH WV AND NOW MORE
EVIDENT IN VIS IMAGERY...PER THICKENING CONVECTION WITHIN BROADENING
BAROCLINIC LEAF STRUCTURE FROM SWRN NM INTO NRN MEXICO. 
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOW INTENSIFYING/EXPANDING SOUTH OF ELP INTO THE
BIG BEND REGION OF TX. WITH TIME SELY FLOW SHOULD INCREASE AHEAD OF
THIS ACTIVITY ACROSS WEST TX ALLOWING THUNDERSTORMS TO EXPAND NEWD
INTO THE TX SOUTH PLAINS.  VERY LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH
SUPERCELLS THAT EVOLVE FROM SOUTH OF MAF...NEWD TOWARD LBB LATER
THIS EVENING.

..DARROW.. 06/03/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.