[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 300059
SWODY1
SPC AC 300058

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0758 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2005

VALID 300100Z - 301200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 NW CMX 35 WSW RHI
25 NNE LSE 20 NNE MCW 25 S FSD 25 NE VTN 40 E DGW 10 WNW RWL 20 NE
VEL 25 NE 4HV 70 WNW GUP 45 N SVC 25 S CNM 30 NNE BGS 10 N SEP 35
NNE CLL 20 SW LCH 30 ESE LFT 35 SW MSL 35 SW LOZ 10 W HGR 20 ENE
NEL.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW CZZ 25 SE PMD
15 SE BIH 40 W TVL 35 E ACV 25 SW MFR 75 NNE MFR 40 S PDT 45 W MSO
40 S GTF 50 NE LWT 50 NNW GGW.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SWRN U.S...

00Z SOUNDINGS FROM FGZ AND TUS DEPICT DEEP ELY COMPONENT ON SWRN
PERIPHERY OF UPPER RIDGE.  DIURNAL CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO
PROPAGATE WWD ACROSS THE LOWER DESERT REGION BEFORE SLOWLY WEAKENING
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  UNTIL TEMPERATURES COOL...ISOLATED SEVERE
DOWNBURSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER RAIN CORES...ESPECIALLY
FROM YUMA COUNTY AZ...NWD INTO SRN NV.

...SERN U.S...

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALL BUT OVERTURNED DAYTIME
BUOYANCY WITHIN BOUNDARY LAYER.  NUMEROUS STORM MERGERS AND COLD
POOL INTERACTIONS COULD ENHANCE STORM UPDRAFTS FOR A BRIEF
PERIOD...HOWEVER THERE APPEARS TO BE MINIMAL POTENTIAL FOR ANY
MEANINGFUL SEVERE WIND GUSTS.

...NRN U.S...

PERSISTENT WARM ADVECTION MAY AT SOME POINT ALLOW ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORMS TO EVOLVE ALONG ERN EDGE OF CAP. SOUNDINGS FROM BIS
TO MPX SUGGEST ANY STORMS THAT EVOLVE SHOULD DEVELOP WELL ABOVE THE
BOUNDARY LAYER WHERE INSTABILITY SHOULD REMAIN MEAGER AT BEST. 
PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE APPEAR TOO LOW TO WARRANT AN OUTLOOK.

IN THE SHORT TERM...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OVER MCKENZIE COUNTY ND
SHOULD SLOWLY WEAKEN AND BECOME ELEVATED AS IT DRIFTS EAST OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS.

..DARROW.. 07/30/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.