[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 291246
SWODY1
SPC AC 291245

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0745 AM CDT FRI JUL 29 2005

VALID 291300Z - 301200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW
MHN 25 SSW CDR 65 NE DGW 15 SSE 81V REJ 10 SW PHP 25 WSW VTN 40 WNW
MHN.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM CZZ 20 W PMD 15 SW
BFL 20 NE FAT 25 S TVL 15 WSW SVE 35 N RBL 40 E EKA 30 ENE CEC 50 SE
OTH 30 NNW RDM 45 SE GTF 80 ENE HVR.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM MQT 15 NW PIA 45 NNW
COU 25 WNW FLV 25 N CNK 45 SW EAR 40 ENE AKO 25 ENE COS 40 SSW PUB
30 NNW LVS 10 NE ABQ 40 SW 4CR 25 WNW ROW 25 NNW HOB 65 NE BGS 55 SW
LFK POE 25 N HEZ 40 SE MKL 60 SW LEX 30 NNE PKB 30 ENE DUJ 25 WNW
BDR 25 SW HYA ...CONT... 45 E TOL FWA 25 E SBN 15 S GRR 25 ENE MBS.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS...

...NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
LARGE UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE FOUR-CORNERS REGION WILL BE
MAINTAINED TODAY...WITH BAND OF MODERATELY STRONG WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT FROM ID/MT INTO THE DAKOTAS.  ONE EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGH
NOW OVER ID/NV WILL ROTATE OVER THE RIDGE AND INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS THIS EVENING.  AIRMASS OVER THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS SHOULD
BE VERY WARM AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE...WITH ONLY WEAK CAPPING OVER
WESTERN SD BY 00Z.  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
BY EARLY EVENING OVER THE BLACK HILLS AND BIGHORNS WHERE EASTERLY
UPSLOPE FLOW WILL AID INITIATION.  VERTICAL SHEAR IN THIS REGION
WILL SUPPORT THE THREAT OF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.  STORMS SHOULD DIMINISH BY 06Z AS DIURNAL COOLING
STRENGTHENS CAP.

...SOUTHEAST STATES...
MORNING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVER MUCH
OF SC/GA.  THIS AREA WILL BECOME VERY UNSTABLE BY MID
AFTERNOON...WITH MLCAPE VALUES OF 2000-3000 J/KG.  HIGH MOISTURE
CONTENT OF AIR MASS...COUPLED WITH WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR...WILL POSE A
RISK OF WET MICROBURSTS IN STRONGER CELLS ACROSS THIS REGION.

..HART/CROSBIE.. 07/29/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.