[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 280052
SWODY1
SPC AC 280051

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0751 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2005

VALID 280100Z - 281200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE
ECG 50 N RWI 25 SE LYH 35 SSE CHO 30 W NHK 30 SSE DOV.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 NNW ANJ 30 NW IMT
55 NNE EAU 25 SSW STC 10 ESE ABR 15 N MBG 30 SE DIK 30 WNW DIK 35
WNW SDY 60 NNE GGW.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ENE CZZ 35 WSW TRM
30 SE BFL 45 NNE BFL 60 SSE BIH 40 SW DRA 25 WSW LAS 30 NNW IGM 50
SW GCN 50 ESE GCN 55 SSE U17 50 NNE 4BL 25 WSW EGE 40 NNW 4FC 10 ENE
FCL 40 NNW LIC 35 ENE PUB 10 SSW TAD 25 S SAF 20 NNE TCS 30 S DMN.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 S MRF 40 WNW P07
40 SSE MAF 40 NNE SJT ACT 15 SSW TYR 50 WSW HOT 30 NNE HOT 60 SW MEM
TUP 10 W HSV 40 SSE LOZ 20 SSE PKB 20 WSW MGW 50 ENE EKN 30 SSE MRB
35 NW ILG 20 SSW BDL 20 WNW PWM 30 S HUL.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE
ATLANTIC...

...MIDDLE ATLANTIC...

00Z SOUNDINGS FROM THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC CONTINUE TO EXHIBIT A
CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY WITH SOMEWHAT WEAKER DEEP LAYER
SHEAR ALONG SRN FRINGES OF EJECTING SPEED MAX. CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION
EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS REMAINS FRAGMENTED AND LESS ORGANIZED THAN A
FEW HOURS EARLIER.  STRONGEST ACTIVITY WILL SOON MOVE OFF THE DE/NJ
COAST AS STRONGEST COLD POOL FORCING SHIFTS NORTH OF ONGOING SLIGHT
RISK REGION.  AS BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS IT APPEARS A CONTINUED
WEAKENING TREND WILL BE OBSERVED FOR MOST THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY...ESPECIALLY THAT CONVECTION WELL AHEAD OF WIND SHIFT. 
GIVEN THE SURGE ACROSS NRN VA/MD...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS MAY YET
EVOLVE ALONG BOUNDARY...THEN DROP SWD INTO SERN VA...OR PERHAPS
EXTREME NRN NC LATER THIS EVENING.  STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATE
ENVIRONMENT REMAINS SUPPORTIVE FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

..DARROW.. 07/28/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.