[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 190050
SWODY1
SPC AC 190048

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0748 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2005

VALID 190100Z - 191200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE SVE 40 N RNO
10 WNW NFL 60 SE NFL 50 NNE BIH 30 NNW BIH 60 NW BIH 25 SSE TVL 30
WSW RNO 25 SSE SVE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE YUM 25 W PHX
40 WSW PRC 55 SW GCN 25 SE GCN 20 NNW INW 25 SSW GUP 20 W 4SL 50 W
ALS 40 E GUC 40 WNW COS 15 WNW LIC 25 WSW GLD 20 SW RSL 40 S EMP 20
WNW VIH 15 WNW CMI 20 WSW AZO 25 SSE HTL 40 N APN.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...LOWER GREAT LAKES / OH VALLEY...
STORMS CONTINUE MOVING EWD ACROSS THIS REGION AHEAD OF COLD
FRONT...WHERE MOIST / MODERATELY-UNSTABLE AIRMASS IS OBSERVED. 
STORMS MAY CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING / INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS...WITH STRONGER CONVECTION STILL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS.  SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED AT
BEST...HOWEVER...AS WIND FIELD REMAINS FAIRLY WEAK /GENERALLY LESS
THAN 25 TO 30 KT/ THROUGH MID LEVELS.

...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
STORMS CONTINUE INVOF TRAILING PORTION OF FRONT LYING ROUGHLY W-E
FROM NRN OK INTO SRN CO...WHERE MODERATE INSTABILITY IS IN PLACE. 
THOUGH MID-LEVEL FLOW REMAINS RELATIVELY WEAK...ELY SURFACE WINDS
JUST N OF BOUNDARY VEERING TO WLY AT LOW TO MID LEVELS IS YIELDING
ENHANCED SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR MULTICELL ORGANIZATION.  THEREFORE...A
FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY GUSTY
WINDS / HAIL.  STORMS MAY INCREASE THIS EVENING AS LOW-LEVEL JET
DEVELOPS...BUT SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED.

...SERN AZ...
THUNDERSTORMS OVER SERN AZ CONTINUE MOVING SEWD...AIDED BY 30 KT
NELY FLOW AT MID LEVELS.  WITH SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY AND DEEP MIXED
LAYER IN PLACE...A FEW STRONGER GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS
EVENING BEFORE CONVECTION DECREASES.

..GOSS.. 07/19/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.