[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 160058
SWODY1
SPC AC 160057

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0757 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2005

VALID 160100Z - 161200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSW GBN 30 WNW GBN
70 ENE BLH 30 ESE EED 60 WSW EED 15 SE DAG 20 NNE RAL 30 NNW LAX 40
SSW BFL 25 NNW BFL FAT 30 ENE SCK 50 WNW TVL 35 NE RNO 30 NNW WMC 55
SE BNO 35 NNE BKE GEG 35 NNW 63S ...CONT... 75 NE ISN 10 ESE ISN 55
SW DIK 20 WNW PHP 9V9 35 SE FAR 30 E INL ...CONT... 20 WNW ART 15 NE
BOS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE CVS 45 WSW LBB
45 ESE LBB 35 W CSM 25 E END 20 E JLN 30 ENE VOK 30 E EAU 10 NNW MKT
25 E OFK 30 S MCK 55 ENE LAA 45 NE CAO 30 NNE CVS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNE DGW 40 NW GCC
45 NE COD 50 ENE JAC 35 SSE BPI 35 NE VEL 45 E CAG 40 NNE LAR 50 NNE
DGW.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...ERN CO...

THREAT OF ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL WILL CONTINUE NEXT 2-3
HOURS AS STORMS MOVE SEWD THROUGH THE HIGH PLAINS OF ERN CO. THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH TOWARD THE KANSAS BORDER AS THE
BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO STABILIZE.


...TX THROUGH SERN STATES...

THE THREAT FOR PRIMARILY ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE
NEXT COUPLE HOURS WITH MULTICELL STORMS FROM TX EWD THROUGH THE SERN
STATES. HOWEVER...ACTIVITY SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS THE BOUNDARY
LAYER STABILIZES.


... NRN NEB THROUGH SERN SD AND SWRN MN...

THIS EVENING VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWED A LINE OF TOWERING CUMULUS
DEVELOPING ALONG COLD FRONT FROM NRN NEB NEWD THROUGH SWRN AND CNTRL
MN. ISOLATED STORMS MANAGED TO DEVELOP OVER SWRN MN. HOWEVER...WEAK
CONVERGENCE AND INCREASING CONVECTIVE INHIBITION ASSOCIATED WITH THE
COOLING BOUNDARY LAYER SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT IS GRADUALLY DECREASING.

...MT...

INCREASING FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH EWD MOVING SHORTWAVE
TROUGH AND INTENSIFYING LOW LEVEL JET MAY PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN VICINITY OF COLD FRONT OVER PARTS OF CNTRL AND NERN
MN OVERNIGHT. THE CURRENT 00Z RAOB FROM GLASGOW SHOWS A RELATIVELY
DRY BOUNDARY LAYER AND MEAGER CAPE. ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS MAY
ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS GIVEN THE STEEP LAPSE RATES AND DRY
BOUNDARY LAYERS. HOWEVER...OVERALL THREAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LIMITED BY MARGINAL INSTABILITY.

..DIAL.. 07/16/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.