[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 100041
SWODY1
SPC AC 100040

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0740 PM CDT SAT JUL 09 2005

VALID 100100Z - 101200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NNW
DVL 55 SE MOT 45 WSW BIS 40 S Y22 55 S Y22 15 ESE REJ 40 ESE GDV 10
ESE SDY 55 N ISN.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE
MOB DHN MGR 25 SSE JAX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE RRT 35 NE FAR
25 WNW GRI 20 SSE GAG 50 NE ABI 55 E JCT 40 NE LRD 65 SSE LRD
...CONT... 30 SW FHU 25 WSW 4CR 25 ENE ALS 15 SSW 4FC 40 NW 4FC 40
SSE RWL 20 NNW RWL 10 E RIW 20 SW BPI 25 NE MLD 35 NW PIH 15 W 27U
25 SSE LWS 30 SW GEG 35 N 63S.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE EWB BDL 30 NW
RUT 35 WNW EFK.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW GLS 50 SSW LFK
10 SW PRX 30 ESE MLC 25 SW UNO 30 SSW PAH 10 ESE TYS 10 NW CLT 25
WNW CRE 20 S CRE.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE NRN HIGH PLAINS...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE ERN GULF COASTAL
AREA AND FL...

...NRN HIGH PLAINS...
CONSIDERABLE HIGH-BASED CONVECTION HAS BEEN GENERATED ON THE BLACK
HILLS THIS AFTN WITHIN HOT...DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER.  ACTIVITY
HAS NOT ROOTED INTO THE RICHER LOW-LEVEL THETA-E ENVIRONMENT ACROSS
WRN ND/NWRN SD PROBABLY GIVEN CINH IN PLACE PER 00Z RAOBS. 
UPSTREAM...SHORT BANDS OF TSTMS HAVE BECOME ALIGNED WITH STRONGER
SWLY LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW AS ENHANCED LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS SPREAD
INTO CNTRL MT. 

ASIDE FROM ISOLD HAIL/SEVERE WIND GUSTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CNTRL MT
TSTMS AS THEY MOVE TOWARD THE CANADIAN BORDER THIS EVENING...
CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION IS NOT CERTAIN FARTHER E. TSTMS MAY ATTEMPT TO
DEVELOP ALONG A WEAK LEE-TROUGH/COLD FRONT NEAR THE MT/ND/CANADIAN
BORDER THIS EVENING...THEN SPREAD EWD ACROSS PORTIONS OF ND
OVERNIGHT WITHIN AXIS OF INCREASING SLY LLJ.  WILL MAINTAIN A
CONDITIONAL SLGT RISK/SEVERE PROBS AS ANY STORM THAT FORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF MAINLY LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE WIND GUSTS.

...ERN GULF COASTAL AREA AND FL...
OFFICIAL TPC HRCN DENNIS TRACK CONTINUES A NWWD MOTION OFF THE FL W
COAST OVERNIGHT.  WIND PROFILES WILL REMAIN STRONG WITH WEAKLY
VEERING LOW-LEVEL FLOW REGIME SPREADING NWD WITH TIME...LIKELY
REACHING THE ERN GULF COASTAL AREA BY 12Z SUNDAY.  AS RAINBANDS
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND ROTATE ONSHORE...MINI-SUPERCELLS/TORNADOES
WILL BE POSSIBLE.  FARTHER N...FAR OUTER BAND OF STORMS MOVING NWWD
THROUGH THE DEEP S MAY BE CAPABLE OF HIGH WINDS THIS EVENING.

..RACY.. 07/10/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.