[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 070056
SWODY1
SPC AC 070055

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 PM CDT WED JUL 06 2005

VALID 070100Z - 071200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW
CDS 45 N BGS 40 W INK 35 NW GDP 35 ESE 4CR 25 NNW CVS 35 WSW CAO 10
S PUB 25 W LIC AKO 40 N GLD 30 SSE GLD GCK 50 SW GAG 15 SW CDS 50 SW
CDS.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E
DHN 15 NNW TOI 20 SE BHM GAD 40 NNE ATL 30 S AHN 30 N ABY 35 E DHN.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 N GFK GFK 10 SSE
FAR 40 SSW AXN FRM MCW ALO 10 SSE CID 40 NW UIN P35 LNK GRI BBW 25
WNW RSL LTS MWL 40 ESE DAL TXK PBF DYR SDF HUF BMI LNR 55 NNE EAU 25
WSW IWD 35 WNW IMT GRB 25 ESE JVL 40 S CGX SBN MFD YNG IPT 35 SW BGM
ITH 35 NNE UCA ALB 15 SSW PSF 15 SW EWB ...CONT... 50 SSW PSX 40 NW
LRD ...CONT... 30 W ELP TCS ABQ 4SL 40 ENE DRO 30 W GJT PUC 25 SSE
DPG ELY 40 NNE TPH TPH 30 W BIH 45 S TVL 45 W RNO SVE 75 ENE 4LW BNO
65 E RDM 20 WSW ALW PUW 63S 30 N 4OM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ENE RKS 40 E RWL
10 NNW DGW 10 N GCC 35 WNW SHR 15 WSW COD 40 WNW LND 40 ENE RKS.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF ALABAMA
AND GEORGIA....

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS....

...ERN GULF STATES...
WEAKENING TROPICAL SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE FOCUS FOR AT
LEAST A RISK OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO TONIGHT.  HOWEVER...
RADIATIONAL COOLING MAY STABILIZE BOUNDARY LAYER ENOUGH TO BEGIN TO
MITIGATE THIS THREAT DURING THE 03-06Z TIME FRAME.

...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
MID/UPPER FORCING FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT APPEARS WEAK. 
HOWEVER...LOWER TO MID TROPOSPHERIC WARM ADVECTION REGIME ON
NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS BECOMING FOCUSED IN
BELT FROM THE TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO EASTERN COLORADO...WHERE VIGOROUS
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS ONGOING.  ENHANCED BY STRENGTHENING
SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET...ACTIVITY LIKELY WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS. GIVEN ENVIRONMENT WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES AND MOST
UNSTABLE CAPE IN EXCESS OF 2000 J/KG...IN ADDITION TO FAVORABLE
SHEAR BENEATH NORTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW... LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN STRONGEST STORMS BEFORE ACTIVITY
BEGINS TO SLOWLY DIMINISH AFTER 06Z.

...ERN MT...
ISOLATED STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS NORTHEASTERN MONTANA. 
HOWEVER...MID LEVEL WARMING IS PROGGED ACROSS THIS REGION
OVERNIGHT...TO THE  SOUTHEAST OF UPPER TROUGH LIFTING ACROSS THE
CANADIAN/NORTHERN U.S. ROCKIES INTO ALBERTA/SASKATCHEWAN.  THIS...
COUPLED WITH ONSET OF SURFACE COOLING WITHIN NEXT FEW HOURS...MAY
LIMIT DURATION/INTENSITY OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

...ELSEHWERE...
ADDITIONAL ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS MAY STILL DEVELOP
BEFORE NIGHTFALL IN HEATED BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS THE NORTHERN
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION.  OTHERWISE...WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS ACROSS
THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY/NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC STATES...CAROLINA
COASTAL AREAS...AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS
EVENING WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

..KERR.. 07/07/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.