[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 060536
SWODY1
SPC AC 060534

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1234 AM CDT WED JUL 06 2005

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW
MOB 50 ESE LUL 45 WSW SEM 20 SW MGM 15 SSE TOI 25 W MAI PFN.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW
GFK 55 W AXN 40 WSW RWF 30 SE FSD 45 WNW OLU 45 SSW EAR 40 N DDC 35
WNW GAG 20 N AMA 40 SW DHT 35 SE TAD 30 NE PUB 45 NW AKO 30 NW AIA
25 WSW PHP 45 WNW MBG 20 N BIS 45 SW DVL 45 WSW GFK.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WNW RRT 35 SSW STC
20 NE MCW 30 NNE OTM 25 ESE OJC 20 SSE JLN 40 SE HRO 25 NNW MEM 10 W
BNA 40 WNW LOZ 15 NNW UNI 25 ENE CLE ...CONT... 50 WNW 3B1 20 NE 3B1
45 S HUL ...CONT... 40 ESE DUG 35 WSW ONM 45 W 4SL 50 N CEZ 50 W PUC
55 SSE BAM 70 NE SVE 70 ENE RDM 45 NE 4OM.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL
GULF COAST....

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ACROSS PARTS OF THE NRN PLAINS INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS....

...SYNOPSIS...
SLIGHT ADJUSTMENT IN THE UPPER AIR PATTERN OCCURS AS MID/UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE ERN GREAT LAKES. MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGING
OCCURS FROM THE SWRN U.S. INTO THE NRN PLAINS DURING THE LATTER HALF
OF THE PERIOD AS BROAD TROUGHING OCCURS OVER WRN CANADA LEAVING
WSWLY FLOW OVER THE NWRN U.S.  AT THE SURFACE...COLD FRONTAL
BOUNDARY MOVING THRU ERN PARTS OF THE NERN U.S. WILL EXTEND FROM SRN
NEW ENGLAND SWWD ACROSS CENTRAL NC/SC AND BECOME DIFFUSE ACROSS NRN
AL BY EARLY AFTERNOON. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING SLOWLY EWD
AND SEWD THRU THE NRN PLATEAU EXTENDING ACROSS N CENTRAL AND SWRN MT
BY EVENING.

...CENTRAL GULF COAST...

SEE LATEST STATEMENTS AND ADVISORIES ON T.S. CINDY ISSUED BY
NHC/TPC.  LATEST PROJECTIONS TAKE THE CENTER OF T.S. CINDY NEWD INTO
NWRN GA DURING THIS PERIOD.  THUS...THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED
TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF AL...GA AND
THE WRN FL PANHANDLE.

...NRN PLAINS INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...

NWLY FLOW WILL COVER THIS REGION DURING THE EARLY HALF OF THE PERIOD
ON ANTICYCLONIC SIDE OF BUILDING RIDGE FROM CO INTO THE WRN DAKOTAS.
 ONCE AGAIN THE MODELS DEVELOP SLY LOW LEVEL JET OF 30-35 KT FROM
THE TX PANHANDLE INTO CENTRAL SD LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ENHANCING DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES ACROSS THE REGION. AIR MASS IS
EXPECTED TO DESTABILIZE WITH DAYTIME HEATING WITH MUCAPE REACHING
BETWEEN 2500 AND 3500 J/KG.  GIVEN DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 30-40 KT
ACROSS THIS REGION COMBINED WITH VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS... SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER MID AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
TONIGHT.  ACTIVITY SHOULD DEVELOP INITIALLY AS ISOLATED SUPERCELLS
FROM ERN CO AND WRN NE INTO CENTRAL SD. ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO BECOME
MORE WIDESPREAD INTO A SMALL MCS...POSSIBLY TWO... OVER PARTS OF THE
ERN DAKOTAS AND OVER WRN NE ONTO ERN CO AND WRN KS.  THE MAIN
THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WITH ISOLATED
TORNADOES POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT OVER ERN CO INTO
S CENTRAL SD.

..MCCARTHY/TAYLOR.. 07/06/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.