[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 291956
SWODY1
SPC AC 291954

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0154 PM CST SAT JAN 29 2005

VALID 292000Z - 301200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM DAB 60 SSE CTY
...CONT... 20 W PNS 30 WSW TOI LGC 25 WSW AHN 25 SE SPA 15 N FAY 35
N HSE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE ROW 20 N ALM 35
ENE SVC 35 S SAD 20 NNE TUS 20 S GBN 30 S BLH 40 NE TRM 55 ENE DAG
25 NNE LAS 20 WNW SGU 25 NNE BCE 30 S GJT 60 ENE GUC 35 ENE TAD 20
SSE CAO 50 WSW AMA 50 WSW LBB 25 N HOB 35 SE ROW.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A CLOSED-OFF LOW CURRENTLY NEAR LAS VEGAS
WITH A STRONG VORTICITY MAX PRESENT OVER SRN CA. STRONG LIFT AHEAD
OF THE VORT MAX IN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE MID-LEVEL JET WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY ONGOING ACROSS
CNTRL AZ. FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR THIS AREA AT 00Z SHOW LAPSE RATES
AROUND OF 8.0 C/KM WITH 500 TEMPS AROUND -26 C. THE STEEP LAPSE
RATES...STRONG ASCENT AND MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR MAY BE SUFFICIENT
FOR A HAIL THREAT WITH THE STRONGER CELLS. THE BEST HAIL THREAT
SHOULD BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST DESERTS ACROSS THE GILA RIVER VALLEY
WHERE LIFTED INDICES ARE LOCALLY ENHANCED. THE MARGINAL HAIL THREAT
SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND SUNSET WITH THE THREAT DIMINISHING
EARLY THIS EVENING AS INSTABILITY DECREASES ACROSS THE REGION.

ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED STORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS GA SOUTHEAST OF AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE MID-MS VALLEY. THE CONVECTION WILL TRACK
ENEWD ACROSS A RELATIVELY STABLE AND COOL AIR MASS...EVENTUALLY
AFFECTING SC AND SRN NC OVERNIGHT.

..BROYLES.. 01/29/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.