[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Sat Jan 29 16:31:06 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 291630
SWODY1
SPC AC 291629

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1029 AM CST SAT JAN 29 2005

VALID 291630Z - 301200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM DAB 60 SSE CTY
...CONT... 20 ESE GPT SEM ANB AHN 35 NNE CAE FAY 35 N HSE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM LAS CDC 4HV MTJ TAD
DHT LBB HOB 4CR SAD GBN TRM DAG LAS.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTHEAST STATES...
MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS TWO STRONG SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEMS
OVER THE UNITED STATES.  BOTH SYSTEMS WILL POSE A MARGINAL THREAT OF
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS TODAY.  THE FIRST UPPER SYSTEM IS OVER MO/AR. 
THIS FEATURE WILL TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE TN VALLEY TODAY...WITH
UVVS AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY POSING A RISK OF ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS FROM AL/FL INTO PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS.  WARM FRONT
DELINEATING NORTHERN EXTENT OF GULF MOISTURE LIES JUST OFF THE FL/AL
COAST. THIS BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY STAY OFFSHORE TODAY...LIMITING THE
POTENTIAL FOR SURFACE-BASED THUNDERSTORMS INLAND.  HOWEVER...SMALL
SUPERCELL STORMS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED ALONG THE COAST AND JUST
OFFSHORE THIS MORNING NEAR MOB/PNS.  THIS TREND MAY CONTINUE FOR A
FEW HOURS...WITH A POTENTIAL OF STRONGER CELLS BECOMING ELEVATED AND
MOVING INLAND. MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WOULD BE ISOLATED
HAIL.

...AZ...
SECOND STRONG UPPER SYSTEM IS OVER SOUTHERN NV.  THIS FEATURE WILL
MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD INTO SOUTHERN UT/NORTHERN AZ THIS AFTERNOON. 
POCKET OF COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL PROMOTE
THE RISK OF HAIL IN ANY DEEP CONVECTION THAT CAN DEVELOP.  NO SEVERE
STORMS ARE ANTICIPATED TODAY.

..HART.. 01/29/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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