[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 291300
SWODY1
SPC AC 291258

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0658 AM CST SAT JAN 29 2005

VALID 291300Z - 301200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM DAB 60 SSE CTY
...CONT... 20 ESE GPT 25 WSW 0A8 20 N ANB 15 WNW AHN 35 NW CAE 30
SSW GSB 35 N HSE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW SGU 20 W BCE
10 SW 4HV 30 SSE CNY 25 SSW GUC 20 W TAD 10 SW DHT 15 SSW PVW 25 SW
ABI 30 ESE BWD 15 WSW TPL 15 S AUS 15 SW SAT 30 ESE DRT 55 NW DRT 30
SSW HOB 10 N ROW 25 SSW 4CR 25 N TCS 20 WSW SAD 40 W GBN 15 S TRM 30
S DAG 50 WSW SGU.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
AN ACTIVE SRN STREAM WILL CONTINUE FROM SRN CA EWD TO THE SE STATES.
 WITHIN THIS SRN STREAM...TWO MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL FOCUS
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS PERIOD.  THE ERN SYSTEM WILL MOVE EWD
FROM THE OZARKS TO THE SRN APPALACHIANS...WHILE THE WRN SYSTEM WILL
MOVE SLOWLY EWD FROM THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY ACROSS AZ TO WRN NM
LATE.

...AZ/NM TODAY TO W TX LATE TONIGHT...
A PRONOUNCED BAND OF ASCENT E THROUGH NE OF THE MID LEVEL VORTICITY
CENTER NEAR YUMA HAS BEEN CONTRIBUTING TO PERSISTENT CONVECTION
OVERNIGHT ACROSS W/NW AZ.  WEAK INSTABILITY IN ASSOCIATION WITH COLD
MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES...ALONG WITH SOME DIURNAL
DESTABILIZATION...SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A FEW THUNDERSTORM
CLUSTERS TODAY NEAR AND N OF THE MOGOLLON RIM IN AZ.  CONVECTION
WILL LIKELY SPREAD EWD INTO WRN NM BY EARLY TONIGHT.  GIVEN THE
RELATIVELY COLD TEMPERATURE PROFILES...SOME SMALL HAIL MAY OCCUR
WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AZ TODAY.

FARTHER E INTO TX...A WEAK SLY LLJ WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT FROM THE
LOWER RIO GRANDE INTO W CENTRAL TX.  INCREASING MOISTURE AND WAA IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THIS LLJ MAY RESULT IN WEAK INSTABILITY AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD
ACROSS CENTRAL AND W CENTRAL TX INTO ERN NM.

...SE STATES TODAY INTO TONIGHT...
WEAK ELEVATED CONVECTION IS ONGOING THIS MORNING FROM SRN AL NWD TO
MIDDLE TN AND CENTRAL KY...AND EWD ACROSS GA.  INSTABILITY HAS
GENERALLY BEEN QUITE LIMITED AND THE ONLY ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES
OVERNIGHT HAVE BEEN CONFINED TO AREAS CLOSER TO THE GULF COAST AND
THE INSTABILITY SOURCE REGION OVER THE GULF.  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS AL/GA PRIMARILY NEAR THE
COAST...REACHING THE CAROLINAS BY TONIGHT.  THE GREATER THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE SHOULD BE NEAR AND OFF THE CAROLINA COASTS TONIGHT IN
PROXIMITY TO THE GULF STREAM.

..THOMPSON.. 01/29/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.