[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 050051
SWODY1
SPC AC 050049

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0649 PM CST TUE JAN 04 2005

VALID 050100Z - 051200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE SAN 40 NNW TRM
20 NW LAS 10 SE CDC 40 NNW GJT 15 WSW EGE 55 ESE GUC 45 NNW CAO 30
SW LBL 35 SSE DDC 15 W STJ 15 ESE IRK 15 W MTO 45 SW BMG 35 WSW OWB
30 SSE CGI 20 NNW ARG 35 N HOT 30 SSE FTW 50 N SJT 15 N INK 50 SE
ELP.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN PLAINS...
EARLY EVENING MESOANALYSIS PLACES THE COLD FRONT SERN OK-NCNTRL
TX-JUST NORTH OF KMAF. 00Z KMAF SOUNDING SUGGESTS THAT MOIST WARM
SECTOR AHEAD OF THE FRONT REMAINS CAPPED WITH LITTLE THREAT FOR
SURFACE BASED CONVECTION THROUGH THE NIGHT.  

TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY FORMED ATOP THE SHALLOW COLD LAYER ACROSS THE TX
S PLAINS AS LARGE SCALE ASCENT FROM A SRN NM/NRN CHIHUAHUA SHORTWAVE
TROUGH SPREADS EWD.  PER 00Z KMAF SOUNDING AND FORECAST RUC
PROFILES...PARCELS ORIGINATING NEAR 5KFT EXHIBIT CAPE OF 1000-1300
J/KG.  GIVEN EFFECTIVE DEEP LAYER SHEAR 70-80 KTS...ISOLD ELEVATED
SUPERCELLS MAY DEVELOP WITH THE RISK FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.  

ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE/DEVELOP ENEWD INTO CNTRL/SRN OK AND
NWRN TX OVERNIGHT AS ENHANCED ISENTROPIC LIFT DEVELOPS COINCIDENT
WITH THE APPROACHING TROUGH.

..RACY.. 01/05/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.