[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 031941
SWODY1
SPC AC 031939

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0139 PM CST MON JAN 03 2005

VALID 032000Z - 041200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNW MRY 35 NNE OXR
25 N RAL 30 SSW LAS 20 WSW GCN 15 E SOW 50 E DUG.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S ELP 20 E ALM 45
WNW CVS 45 N AMA 40 ESE P28 35 NE JLN 15 NW CGI 10 N MKL 35 NW GLH
45 W TYR 40 SE P07.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTHERN CA...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS LARGE UPPER TROUGH REMAINING OFF THE
SOUTHERN CA COAST THIS AFTERNOON...WITH PRIMARY MID LEVEL COLD
POCKET AND CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ABOUT 200-300 WEST OF LAX/SAN.  THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO SOUTHERN CA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. 
STEEP LAPSE RATES AND COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT /-28 TO -30C AT 500MB/
SUGGEST SOME POTENTIAL FOR HAIL AND/OR GUSTY WINDS IN STRONGER CELLS
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.  ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED.

...TX/OK...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN OCCURRING ALONG
BAROCLINIC ZONE FROM NORTH TX INTO AR. THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY
REMAIN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS SURFACE COLD FRONT SAGS INTO
AREA...INCREASING LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND LIFT.  RELATIVELY
WEAK/VEERED LOW LEVEL WINDS AND ONLY MODERATELY STEEP LAPSE RATES
ARE EXPECTED TO LIMIT THE RISK OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS.  

OTHER MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT ACROSS
WEST TX AND WESTERN OK AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER NORTHERN MEXICO
APPROACHES...STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS AND ENHANCING
LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION.  MARGINAL INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE
ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS IN THIS REGION AS WELL.

..HART.. 01/03/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.