[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Mon Jan 3 00:46:18 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 030046
SWODY1
SPC AC 030044

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0644 PM CST SUN JAN 02 2005

VALID 030100Z - 031200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE CRP 40 S SAT
30 SW JCT 40 SSE MAF 40 NW MAF 45 W LBB 15 SSW AMA 10 ENE ICT 30 SSE
IRK 45 NNW DNV 15 NNE FWA 20 WSW FDY 40 S FDY 30 ENE DAY 20 NE LUK
30 SW SDF 30 ESE PBF 25 SE LFK 25 ENE HOU 25 SW GLS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S UKI 20 NW SFO 20
NNE MRY 15 SSE PRB 20 N OXR 10 N LGB 25 SE LGB.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN PLAINS/OZARKS/OH VALLEY...
SFC ANALYSIS CURRENTLY SHOWS A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT EXTENDING 
FROM WEST TX ENEWD ACROSS OK...MO...IL AND IND. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
CURRENTLY DEVELOPING ALONG THE BOUNDARY IN MO AND IL IN RESPONSE 
TO THE EXIT REGION OF A 30KT LOW-LEVEL JET MOVING NWD ACROSS THE
OZARKS. IN ADDITION...THE ACTIVITY MAY BE EXPANDING DUE TO
INCREASING LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING NEWD
ACROSS ERN KS AND NW AR. THE STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO 
THE OH VALLEY THIS EVENING AND SHOULD GRADUALLY DISSIPATE AS 
THE CONVECTION GETS INTO THE MORE STABLE AIRMASS IN THE UPPER 
OH VALLEY.

ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS...STORMS ARE CURRENTLY DEVELOPING IN AN AREA
OF INCREASING INSTABILITY ACROSS THE TX HILL COUNTRY AND ACROSS
NORTH TX. THIS CONVECTION SHOULD EXPAND IN COVERAGE AND SPREAD NNEWD
INTO OK THIS EVENING. OTHER STORMS APPEAR LIKELY TO DEVELOP ALONG
THE BOUNDARY ACROSS NW TX AND SW OK AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION
INCREASES THIS EVENING. WEAK INSTABILITY SHOULD PREVENT THE STORMS
FROM BECOMING SEVERE DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

...CA COAST...
AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW CENTER OFF THE COAST OF NRN CA WILL CONTINUE TO
DIG SWD TONIGHT. ONSHORE FLOW...COLD MID-LEVEL TEMPS AND LIFT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OFF
THE COAST OF CA. A FEW STORMS MAY AFFECT THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS
THIS EVENING WITH LESS OF A THUNDER THREAT OVERNIGHT.

..BROYLES.. 01/03/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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