[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 021949
SWODY1
SPC AC 021947

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0147 PM CST SUN JAN 02 2005

VALID 022000Z - 031200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE CRP 35 ENE SAT
JCT 60 E FST 35 WNW MAF 50 W LBB AMA ICT 55 SW IRK 20 NNE DEC 20 NNE
BMG 20 S OWB 30 WSW ELD 35 NE LFK 35 ESE BPT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NW UKI UKI 35 SE
MRY 25 E SMX 20 NNW RAL 20 WNW CZZ.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN PLAINS TO THE LOWER OH VLY...
TSTMS THAT DEVELOPED ACROSS NCNTRL TX AND SERN OK EARLIER TODAY
APPEAR TO BE TIED WITH A WEAK IMPULSE THAT MOVED NEWD INTO THE
REGION EARLY TODAY.  THIS DISTURBANCE SEEMS TO BE WEAKENING AS IT
GLANCES OFF STRONG GULF OF MEXICO RIDGE AND TSTMS HAVE DIMINISHED IN
INTENSITY SOMEWHAT.

ATTENTION WILL NOW TURN TO A STRONGER UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH 
MOVING TOWARD WRN TX ATTM.  PROFILERS ALREADY SHOW A SLIGHT BACKING
OF THE MID-LEVEL FLOW OVER THE SRN PLAINS AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT
SHOULD SPREAD NEWD THROUGH TONIGHT.  COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE
SWD AND SHOULD BEGIN TO STALL FROM TX PNHDL THROUGH CNTRL OK TO THE
LOWER OH VLY THIS EVENING.  WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF THE FRONT REMAINS
CAPPED AND PROSPECTS FOR SURFACE BASED PARCELS REACHING LFC ARE LOW.
 HOWEVER...AS THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES LATER THIS AFTERNOON/
OVERNIGHT...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM ATOP THE SHALLOW COLD DOME
NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY FROM THE SRN PLAINS TO THE LOWER OH VLY. 
ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL BE MEAGER GIVEN THE WARM COLUMN AND SHOULD
NOT PROMOTE ORGANIZED SEVERE TSTMS.

...CNTRL/SRN CA COASTAL AREAS...
MOIST ONSHORE FLOW WILL INCREASE IN ADVANCE OF THE UPPER LOW
DROPPING DOWN THE W COAST THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT.  MID-TROPOSPHERIC
LAPSE RATES WILL GRADUALLY STEEPEN...PARTICULARLY TOWARD MORNING AND
A FEW TSTMS MAY DEVELOP OVERNIGHT.  MOST OF THE STORMS WILL STAY
OFFSHORE.

..RACY.. 01/02/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.