[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 270034
SWODY1
SPC AC 270032

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0632 PM CST SAT FEB 26 2005

VALID 270100Z - 271200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW PNS 15 ENE CEW
30 E MAI 20 NNE CTY 45 ESE JAX ...CONT... 45 N BRO 40 NW VCT 40 ENE
LFK 30 NNE BTR 40 S GPT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SW TUS 50 E YUM 15
WSW TRM 10 ESE MER 40 NE SCK 20 N NFL 30 NNW ELY 45 ENE MLF 45 ESE
CNY 35 ESE ASE 30 WSW PUB 55 WSW RTN 10 NE 4CR CNM 65 SSW P07.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...GREAT BASIN INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS...
00Z REGIONAL SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF RATHER STEEP LOW TO
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY THIS
EVENING...COINCIDENT WITH MID-LEVEL SHEAR/VORTICITY AXIS EVIDENT IN
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY FROM SERN NV INTO E-CNTRL AZ AND SWRN NM.
DESPITE WEAK BUT PERSISTENT LARGE-SCALE FORCING INVOF THIS SHEAR
AXIS...TSTM COVERAGE SHOULD TEND TO DIMINISH LATER TONIGHT WITH THE
ONSET OF RADIATIONAL COOLING AND RESULTANT WEAKENING OF LOW-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY.

...GULF COAST...
CURRENT WATER VAPOR/IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW WELL-DEFINED VORTICITY
CENTER OVER TX WITH ASSOCIATED 130 KT SUBTROPICAL JET AXIS /PER 00Z
BRO/CRP OBSERVATIONS/ OVER THE NWRN GULF OF MEXICO. WHILE SURFACE
BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDS FROM S OF BUOY 42002 IN THE WRN GULF EWD
ACROSS THE SRN FL PENINSULA...LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE IS CONSISTENT IN
STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL WAA PATTERN N OF THIS RETREATING BOUNDARY
OVERNIGHT. EXPECT ELEVATED TSTMS TO FIRST DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF
THE NWRN GULF AND EVENTUALLY ONTO THE TX/LA COASTS. SUBSEQUENT TSTM
DEVELOPMENT WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY WIDESPREAD LATER TONIGHT OVER
THE NERN GULF BASIN AS LLJ AXIS AND ASSOCIATED WAA SHIFT EWD AHEAD
OF APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND UPPER-JET AXIS.

..MEAD.. 02/27/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.