[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 261614
SWODY1
SPC AC 261612

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1012 AM CST SAT FEB 26 2005

VALID 261630Z - 271200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S CRP 25 W CLL 40
S SHV 35 W MCB 20 N BVE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW FHU GBN 40 N
SAN 30 NNE OXR 20 SE SAC SVE 15 ENE LOL 60 E ELY 45 S VEL 10 WNW 4FC
45 W PUB 10 N 4SL 4CR CNM 65 SSW P07.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSE PIE 30 N DAB.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...WEST INTO SRN ROCKIES...
APPEARS ANOTHER DAY OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THIS REGION AS
COOL MID LEVELS AND AFTERNOON SURFACE HEATING STEEPEN LAPSE RATES. 
H5 TEMPERATURES REMAIN AOB -24C FOR MUCH OF THE AREA AND SHOULD
SUPPORT SBCAPES TO 500 J/KG.  THOUGH MUCH OF THE ACTIVITY WILL
REMAIN WEAK...STORMS WHICH CAN FORM NEARER THE HIGHER SURFACE DEW
POINTS NOW OVER COASTAL REGIONS OF SRN CA MAY HAVE SUFFICIENT CAPE
FOR HAIL APPROACHING SEVERE LIMITS.

...FL...
HAVE ADDED A GENERAL THUNDERSTORM AREA ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL/SRN FL
AS FORECAST AND MODIFIED OBSERVED SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SUFFICIENT
HEATING/MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT MARGINAL INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON. 
HOWEVER...OVERALL STORM INTENSITIES WILL REMAIN WEAK DUE TO LIMITED
LAPSE RATES/INSTABILITY.

...TX INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE ELEVATED CONVECTION IS PERSISTING
OVER THE TX COASTAL PLAIN REGION AHEAD OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW
MOVING INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.  AS THIS SYSTEM LIFTS ENEWD
THROUGH TONIGHT...ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY ACCOMPANY
ASSOCIATED WEAK CONVECTION AS MID LEVELS COOL AND STEEPEN MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES.

..EVANS.. 02/26/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.