[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 252000
SWODY1
SPC AC 251958

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0158 PM CST FRI FEB 25 2005

VALID 252000Z - 261200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N PIE DAB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM SBA 30 SSW FAT 10 NW
SAC 45 SE RBL 45 SW SVE RNO 75 SW ELY 45 NNW GJT 30 ESE ASE 40 SW
ALS 75 NNW SVC 30 SSE SAD 70 WSW TUS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SW MRF FST 45 WNW
SJT 10 S JCT HDO NIR 35 SSE CRP.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CENTRAL/SRN FL...
WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGH...CURRENTLY OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO
PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD OVER THE FL
PENINSULA THIS EVENING AND INTO THE ATLANTIC BY 12Z SATURDAY.  EARLY
AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSES SHOWED A COLD FRONT MOVING SLOWLY SWD
ACROSS CENTRAL FL...WITH A WEAK LOW ALONG THIS BOUNDARY OFF THE WEST
COAST OF FL...AND A DEVELOPING LOW NE OF MLB.  AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
FROM EARLIER CONVECTION CONTINUED TO MOVE SWD ACROSS FAR SRN FL...
WITH EXTENSIVE CLOUDINESS FROM CONVECTION IN THE GULF SPREADING EWD
AND FURTHER INHIBITING DESTABILIZATION IN THE WAKE OF THE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY.  REGIONAL RADARS SHOW STRONGER STORMS...WITH A FEW
SPLITTING SUPERCELLS...ALONG THE COLD FRONT OVER THE ERN GULF ARE
WEAKENING AS THEY MOVE INLAND WHERE THE AIR MASS IS MORE STABLE. 
THIS TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...BUT MODEST INSTABILITY AND
UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR MAY SUPPORT A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS AS STORMS
MOVE INLAND ALONG THE WEST COAST.

FARTHER S...THE WARM SECTOR IN ADVANCE OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE OFFSHORE OF SRN FL...LIMITING A SEVERE POTENTIAL
OVER THIS PORTION OF MAINLAND FL.  MEANWHILE...AN AREA OF TSTMS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SSEWD TOWARD THE LOWER FL KEYS...BUT SHOULD REMAIN
SLIGHTLY ELEVATED AS THEY ARE UNDERCUT BY THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.

...CA INTO THE 4-CORNERS...
VIS IMAGERY SHOWED CU INCREASING IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN FROM CA TO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION...WITH A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS. ADDITIONAL SURFACE HEATING BENEATH COLD MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES AND GENERAL LARGE SCALE ASCENT ACROSS MUCH OF THIS
REGION ASSOCIATED WITH THE BROAD MID LEVEL CIRCULATION WILL SUPPORT
NEW THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT INTO THE EARLY EVENING.  OVERALL SHEAR/
INSTABILITY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO SUPPORT A SEVERE THREAT.

...RIO GRANDE VALLEY REGION...
LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL INCREASE OVER THIS REGION LATER TONIGHT AS
THE EXIT REGION OF A MID LEVEL JET APPROACHES THIS REGION.  THIS
SHOULD SUPPORT ENOUGH DESTABILIZATION ATOP A STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER
FOR A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS AS PRECIPITATION INCREASES IN AREAL
COVERAGE.

..PETERS.. 02/25/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.