[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Thu Feb 24 10:32:35 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 241155
SWODY1
SPC AC 241154

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0554 AM CST THU FEB 24 2005

VALID 241300Z - 251200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S
CRP 10 NE ALI 10 WNW PSX 10 NNE HOU 25 SSW BPT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM PFN MAI 30 E MCN CAE
GSB 25 E ECG ...CONT... DAB 15 NNW PIE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM CZZ RAL PRB 10 NE MER
35 SSW ELY CNY CEZ SAF HOB MAF BWD DAL SHV BTR 10 ESE BVE.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS MORNING ALONG THE TX GULF
COAST...

...TX...
LARGE UPPER TROUGH IS AFFECTING THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES
TODAY...WHILE BAND OF RATHER STRONG WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY MID LEVEL
WINDS EXTENDS FROM TX ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES.  CLUSTER OF
STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL TX WILL MOVE OFFSHORE
DURING THE MORNING.  MUCAPE VALUES OVER 2000 J/KG AND SIGNIFICANT
MESOSCALE ORGANIZATION OF MCS SUGGEST THAT ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY FOR ANOTHER FEW
HOURS OVER THE MIDDLE TX GULF COAST AND ADJACENT WATERS /REF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCHES 38 AND 39/.

...AZ/NM...
POCKET OF COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES REMAINS OVER AZ AND WESTERN NM
TODAY...ASSOCIATED WITH WEAKENING UPPER LOW.  STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND SUFFICIENT LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MAINTAIN A RISK OF
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL IN THIS REGION TODAY.  NO ORGANIZED
SEVERE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED.

..HART.. 02/24/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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