[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 141625
SWODY1
SPC AC 141623

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1023 AM CST MON FEB 14 2005

VALID 141630Z - 151200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW DAB 35 N PIE
...CONT... PFN 20 SE DHN 10 WSW CSG 30 ENE ATL 35 ESE AHN 20 WNW CAE
30 NNW FLO 25 SSE RDU 50 NE RWI 20 ENE ECG.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SE ATLANTIC STATES...
A MID LEVEL TROUGH FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE SE STATES WILL MOVE
EWD TOWARD THE ATLANTIC COAST AND GRADUALLY LOSE AMPLITUDE THROUGH
TONIGHT.  WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY AND ASCENT IN ADVANCE OF THIS
TROUGH MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS GA/N FL TODAY...AND
THE CAROLINA COASTAL PLAINS THROUGH THIS EVENING.  MINIMAL
INSTABILITY WILL PRECLUDE ANY SEVERE STORM THREAT.

...CA AREA...
A SRN STREAM MID LEVEL LOW NEAR 37 N AND 131 W HAS SLOWED
APPRECIABLY IN ITS EWD MOVEMENT THE PAST 12 HOURS AS PART OF A
DEVELOPING REX BLOCK OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA AND ERN PACIFIC.  WITH
LITTLE EWD MOVEMENT EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW...THE MID LEVEL COLD
POOL AND STEEPEST LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE...AS WILL THE
THREAT FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

...MT AREA...
FINALLY...A LOW AMPLITUDE NRN STREAM TROUGH IS MOVING SLOWLY EWD
OVER THE NRN ROCKIES AND NRN HIGH PLAINS.  REGIONAL 12Z SOUNDINGS
REVEAL STEEP LAPSE RATES AND THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTIVE SNOW
SHOWERS...BUT ANY LIGHTNING STRIKES SHOULD REMAIN TOO SPARSE TO
JUSTIFY A THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK AREA.

..THOMPSON.. 02/14/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.