[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 141949
SWODY1
SPC AC 141947

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0147 PM CST MON FEB 14 2005

VALID 142000Z - 151200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW CTY 20 E VLD
65 ESE MCN 45 ESE AHN 20 WNW CAE 30 NNW FLO 25 SSE RDU 50 NE RWI 20
ENE ECG ...CONT... 30 NNW DAB 35 N PIE.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SE ATLANTIC STATES...
MID LEVEL TROUGH...CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM ONTARIO TO THE SE
ATLANTIC STATES...WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD TOWARD QUEBEC/NEW
ENGLAND AND OFF THE MID/SE ATLANTIC STATES TONIGHT AS IT
DE-AMPLIFIES.  EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH WILL
MAINTAIN A STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS MUCH OF THE LAND AREAS...
THOUGH WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY AND ASCENT MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS FROM NRN FL TO THE CAROLINA COASTAL PLAINS.  MINIMAL
INSTABILITY WILL PRECLUDE A SEVERE STORM THREAT.

...MT/NRN ID...
EARLY AFTERNOON VIS IMAGERY SHOWED CONVECTION HAD DEVELOPED ACROSS
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NRN ID INTO WRN MT IN ASSOCIATION WITH LARGE
SCALE ASCENT SPREADING SEWD OVER THIS REGION.  NO LIGHTNING STRIKES
HAVE BEEN DETECTED AS OF 1930Z.  ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE SNOW SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AS UVVS WITH THE MID LEVEL TROUGH
SPREAD SEWD WITHIN STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT PER COLD MID-LEVEL
TEMPERATURES /AROUND -38 C AT 500 MB/. LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN TOO SPARSE TO ADD A GENERAL TSTM OUTLOOK.

..PETERS.. 02/14/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.