[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Mon Feb 14 12:36:56 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 141238
SWODY1
SPC AC 141236

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0636 AM CST MON FEB 14 2005

VALID 141300Z - 151200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW PNS 45 NNW MOB
15 W BHM 20 W RMG 15 NNE AHN 15 E AGS 45 NNW CHS 30 S FAY 50 NE RWI
20 ENE ECG ...CONT... 30 NNW DAB 35 N PIE.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTHEAST...
STRONG SYSTEM EMBEDDED IN LARGER SHORTWAVE TROUGH CONTINUES MOVING
EWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES THIS MORNING. THIS SYSTEM
IS FORECAST TO UNDERGO WEAKENING AS IT EJECTS QUICKLY ENEWD ACROSS
THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. TODAY.  THOUGH LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL
INCREASE ACROSS A MOISTENING WARM SECTOR...WEAK LAPSE RATES WITHIN
DEEP MOISTURE PLUME WILL LIMIT AVAILABLE INSTABILITY. SHEAR PROFILES
AND STRONG ASCENT WILL AID IN MAINTAINING SOME STORM-SCALE
ORGANIZATION WITH THE LINE OF STORMS CURRENTLY MOVING EWD ACROSS THE
FL PANHANDLE.  HOWEVER...OBSERVED AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
SEVERE THREAT WILL REMAIN MINIMAL.  OTHER STORMS MAY FORM AHEAD OF
APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND EMBEDDED WITHIN BROADER PRECIPITATION
SHIELD OVERSPREADING AL/GA INTO THE ERN CAROLINAS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON WITH MINIMAL SEVERE THREAT AS WELL.

..EVANS.. 02/14/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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