[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 121242
SWODY1
SPC AC 121241

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0641 AM CST SAT FEB 12 2005

VALID 121300Z - 131200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE CRP 35 SSW ALI
35 S LRD ...CONT... 20 SW YUM 55 WSW EED 35 SE LAS 35 N PGA 35 SSE
ALS 60 WSW TCC 35 NNE CNM 40 WSW ABI 30 WSW SPS 40 NE AMA 35 ENE LBL
EMP 35 SSE SZL 20 WSW POF 30 WNW MEM 35 S GLH 40 SSE LCH.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTHWEST/SRN ROCKIES...
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL OVERSPREAD THE SRN ROCKIES TODAY...AS A SERIES
OF DISTURBANCES EVIDENT ON WV IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHIFT ENEWD.
THOUGH BAND OF SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WILL PERSIST
WITHIN DEEP MOISTURE PLUME AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH...AIR MASS SHOULD
BECOME WEAKLY UNSTABLE AS POCKETS OF INSTABILITY DEVELOP UNDER -18C
TO -20C MID LEVEL THERMAL TROUGH.

...SRN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY...
AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST...SWLY H85 WINDS WILL
INCREASE TODAY FROM CENTRAL TX INTO THE OZARK REGION WITH LLJ AXIS
EXTENDING FROM ERN TX INTO THE MID-SOUTH BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. 
THOUGH BOUNDARY LAYER WILL REMAIN STABLE...INCREASING LARGE SCALE
ASCENT AND SUFFICIENT MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE EXPECTED TO SUPPORT
INCREASING CONVECTION THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD ACROSS
THIS REGION.  EVEN THOUGH SURFACE DEW POINTS WILL STEADILY INCREASE
ACROSS THE TX COASTAL PLAIN/SERN TX...LATEST FORECAST SOUNDINGS FAIL
TO SUGGEST ACTIVITY WILL BECOME VERY STRONG/ORGANIZED AS STORMS
REMAIN ROOTED ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER AND AVAILABLE MUCAPE REMAINS
AOB 500 J/KG.

..EVANS.. 02/12/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.