[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Mon Feb 7 00:54:39 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 070054
SWODY1
SPC AC 070053

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0653 PM CST SUN FEB 06 2005

VALID 070100Z - 071200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW CLL 25 WNW CLL
35 ESE ACT 10 E DUA MLC 25 SE MKO FSM 45 WNW HOT 30 ENE TXK 35 E LFK
45 NNW BPT 30 NE HOU 30 W HOU 40 SSW CLL.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE ELP 45 NNW ELP
15 NNE TCS 35 N ONM 20 ESE SAF 40 ESE LVS 25 N CVS 60 N HOB 10 NW
HOB 15 S CNM 35 ENE ELP.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN AND CNTRL NM...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CURRENTLY SHOWS A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER
THE SWRN US WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED OVER SRN NM. STRONG
ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE...COOL MID-LEVEL TEMPS AND SFC
HEATING ARE SUPPORTING THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING IN THE MTNS OF CNTRL
AND SRN NM. AS INSTABILITY DROPS OFF THIS EVENING...THE STORMS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH.

...EAST TX/SE OK/SW AR..
THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER SERN NM AND WEST TX WILL GRADUALLY MOVE
EWD THIS EVENING...INCREASING LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTH TX. MID-LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION EAST OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH
WILL GRADUALLY STEEPEN LAPSE RATES ACROSS CNTRL AND ERN TX THIS
EVENING. THIS COMBINED WITH STRONG ISENTROPIC ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH
A LOW-LEVEL JET ACROSS EAST TX AND WRN AR MAY ALLOW FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.
A LACK OF INSTABILITY SHOULD KEEP THE STORMS BELOW SEVERE LIMITS.

..BROYLES.. 02/07/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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