[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 061934
SWODY1
SPC AC 061932

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0132 PM CST SUN FEB 06 2005

VALID 062000Z - 071200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW PSX 50 N VCT
25 NNE AUS 15 NE FTW 15 SE MKO 30 N FYV SGF 25 SSE TBN 40 NNW POF 20
ESE POF 30 ESE PBF 25 WNW ESF 30 SSE LCH.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W DUG 35 N TUS 60
WSW SOW 50 ENE SOW 35 ESE GNT 15 SSE LVS 45 SE CVS 35 ESE HOB 40 WSW
MRF.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...E TX TO OZARKS...
CONVERGENT BAND AND ASSOCIATED SHOWERS HAS BEEN SHIFTING SLOWLY EWD
ACROSS ERN TX AND A BROADER AREA OF SHOWERS WAS EXPANDING ACROSS THE
OZARKS AT MID-AFTERNOON.  LLJ IS BEGINNING TO TRANSLATE NEWD AS
FIRST MID-LEVEL IMPULSE ACCELERATES INTO THE CORN BELT.  MOST LARGE
SCALE SUPPORT WILL BE MOVING FROM THE OZARKS INTO THE MID-MS VLY
THIS EVENING... WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS
FARTHER S.  ISOLD TSTMS MAY BE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE CONVECTION
THROUGH THE EVENING... BUT PROBABILITIES ARE RATHER LOW GIVEN POOR
TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES.

MEANWHILE...NEXT UPSTREAM IMPULSE NEARING FAR W TX AND CHIHUAHUA
WILL TURN NEWD OVERNIGHT.  SLIGHTLY COOLER MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES
WILL SPREAD TOWARD ERN TX AND OZARKS BY 12Z.  STEEPENING MID-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND INCREASING LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE
TO MORE VIGOROUS CONVECTION AND ISOLD TSTMS PARTICULARLY ACROSS NERN
TX INTO SERN OK...AR AND SRN MO LATER TONIGHT.

...SRN ROCKIES...
COLD POCKET ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE IMPULSE MOVING ACROSS THE SRN
ROCKIES ATOP STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND RESIDUAL MOISTURE
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A FEW DIURNAL TSTMS.

..RACY.. 02/06/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.