[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 051540
SWODY1
SPC AC 051539

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0939 AM CST SAT FEB 05 2005

VALID 051630Z - 061200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

CLOSED UPPER LOW THAT HAS BEEN OFF BAJA IN THE PROCESS OF BEING
KICKED NEWD AS TROUGH  MOVES ACROSS NRN ROCKIES INTO NRN PLAINS BY
TONIGHT.  UPPER LOW OPENING INTO A TROUGH AND BY 12Z SUNDAY WILL BE
MOVING RAPIDLY NEWD ACROSS SRN PLAINS.

WHILE EXTENSIVE MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS BEING DRAWN NEWD AHEAD
OF UPPER SYSTEM OFF THE TROPICAL ERN PAC...VERY LITTLE INSTABILITY
IS AVAILABLE E OF SIERRA MADRES IN MEXICO. A VERY COOL/STABLE RETURN
FLOW OFF WRN GULF OF MEXICO WILL PROVIDE NO SUPPORT FOR ANY
CONVECTIVE THREAT THIS FORECAST PERIOD AS THE UPPER TROUGH
APPROACHES SRN PLAINS TONIGHT.

OUTSIDE OF THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES EMBEDDED IN
THE DEEP MID LEVEL MOISTURE MOVING NEWD ACROSS MEXICO INTO SRN HIGH
PLAINS...THREAT FOR ANY ORGANIZED CONVECTION APPEARS MINIMAL THRU
TONIGHT.

AS A RESULT HAVE DROPPED THE EARLIER THUNDER FORECAST AS ANY
LIGHTNING SHOULD BE LESS THAN THE REQUIRED 10 PERCENT COVERAGE.

..HALES.. 02/05/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.