[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Sat Feb 5 19:31:28 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 051931
SWODY1
SPC AC 051930

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0130 PM CST SAT FEB 05 2005

VALID 052000Z - 061200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

BAJA UPPER LOW WILL OPEN AND ACCELERATE NEWD INTO THE SRN ROCKIES
TONIGHT.  WARM CONVEYOR WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EWD FROM NRN MEXICO AND
SRN NM INTO THE SRN PLAINS THROUGH TONIGHT.  SUB-TROPICAL NATURE TO
THE CONVEYOR IS LIMITING MID-TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES AND ELEVATED 
BUOYANCY WILL REMAIN TOO WEAK TO SUPPORT ANYTHING MORE THAN ISOLD
LIGHTNING.  MEANWHILE...WEST OF THE WARM CONVEYOR...STEEPER LOW
LEVEL LAPSE RATES BENEATH COLD POCKET ALOFT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
SURFACE BASED TSTMS ACROSS NRN SONORA/WRN CHIHUAHUA.  THESE STORMS
WILL MOVE NEWD TOWARD THE SERN AZ/SWRN NM BORDER...BUT WILL LIKELY
WEAKEN BEFORE THEY CROSS INTO THE UNITED STATES.  AS A RESULT...A
TSTM-FREE FORECAST WILL BE MAINTAINED CONUS-WIDE.

..RACY.. 02/05/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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