[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 041255
SWODY1
SPC AC 041253

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0653 AM CST FRI FEB 04 2005

VALID 041300Z - 051200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 NW FCA 50 NW S06
45 WNW GEG 45 NW EAT 25 E OLM 25 S HQM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SSW GBN 15 NE GBN
65 WSW SOW 40 E SOW 50 WNW TCS 20 W ELP.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WILL PREVAIL THIS PERIOD...WITH MAIN 
BELT OF THE WLYS CONTINUING FROM THE PAC NW ACROSS THE SRN TIER OF
CANADA.  UPPER LOW IN SRN STREAM...NOW OFF THE BAJA CA CST...SHOULD 
LIFT NEWD INTO NW MEXICO AS NRN IMPULSE NOW APPROACHING THE WA CST
SWEEPS E INTO THE NRN RCKYS.  DRY AND/OR AIR OF POLAR ORIGIN WILL
REMAIN DOMINANT AT LWR LEVELS...ESPECIALLY E OF THE RCKYS.

...AZ/NM...
THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER NOW OVER NW MEXICO APPEARS TO BE ASSOCIATED
WITH EXIT REGION OF JET STREAK /PER WV IMAGERY/ THAT ROTATED AROUND
BAJA UPPER LOW IN THE LAST 24 HRS.  THE CLUSTER SHOULD CONTINUE TO
SPREAD NNE LATER THIS MORNING AND THEN DISSIPATE AS FORCING FOR
ASCENT WEAKENS AND LIFTS NWD BEYOND BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AXIS
/DEWPOINTS NEAR 50F/ W OF THE MEXICAN MOUNTAINS.  A SIMILAR BAND OF
STORMS MAY DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT OVER NRN MEXICO AS ANOTHER SPEED MAX
LIFTS NE IN ERN QUADRANT OF LOW.  THIS ACTIVITY MAY AFFECT SE AZ/SW
NM WITH SCATTERED HIGH-BASED CONVECTION.  IN THE MEANTIME...DIURNAL
HEATING AND MODEST OROGRAPHIC UPLIFT MAY LEAD TO A FEW AFTERNOON
STORMS OVER SRN AZ.

...PAC NW...
CYCLONIC ONSHORE FLOW WILL DEEPEN OVER WRN WA TODAY AS PAC SHORTWAVE
TROUGH CONTINUES EWD.  VERY COOL MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES /AOB MINUS
25C/ WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SCATTERED POST FRONTAL CONVECTION/
POSSIBLE THUNDER AS PASSAGE OF ASSOCIATED BAROCLINIC CLOUD BAND
ALLOWS FOR SURFACE HEATING LATER TODAY.  ISOLATED ACTIVITY COULD
SPREAD AS FAR E AS FAR NRN ID TONIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY.

..CORFIDI.. 02/04/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.