[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Fri Feb 4 05:27:07 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 040527
SWODY1
SPC AC 040526

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1126 PM CST THU FEB 03 2005

VALID 041200Z - 051200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 E BLI SEA 10 SE
AST.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 S GBN 30 NNW PHX
35 SSW INW 25 NE SOW 75 NE SAD 60 SSW DMN.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SERN AZ...

CUTOFF UPPER LOW CURRENTLY CENTERED OFF THE COAST OF NRN BAJA CA IS
FORECAST TO DRIFT SLOWLY ENEWD AS MID LEVEL JET AND ASSOCIATED VORT
MAX ROTATE THROUGH THE BASE AND EVENTUALLY INTO THE ERN QUADRANT OF
THIS FEATURE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. ATTENDANT FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL
SPREAD INTO PARTS OF SRN AZ AND NM. STEEPER MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
ACCOMPANYING COLDER AIR ALOFT IN PROXIMITY TO THE UPPER LOW IN
CONJUNCTION WITH INCREASING VERTICAL MOTION WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
THREAT OF ELEVATED CONVECTION. HOWEVER...ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN
RATHER SPARSE OWING TO LIMITED INSTABILITY.

...NW WA...

SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ATTENDANT COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE PACIFIC
NW FRIDAY AFTERNOON. MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL STEEPEN AS COLD AIR
ALOFT ACCOMPANYING THIS FEATURE MOVES INLAND. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL
REMAIN LIKELY IN POST FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT...ESPECIALLY IN VICINITY
OF THE CASCADES WHERE OROGRAPHIC LIFT WILL BE ENHANCED. HOWEVER...
MARGINAL INSTABILITY SUGGESTS ANY LIGHTNING ACTIVITY WILL BE
ISOLATED.

..DIAL.. 02/04/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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