[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 041615
SWODY1
SPC AC 041614

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1014 AM CST FRI FEB 04 2005

VALID 041630Z - 051200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 NW FCA 50 NW S06
45 WNW GEG 45 NW EAT 25 E OLM 25 S HQM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 S GBN 55 NW TUS 50
W SAD 45 WNW SVC 15 NW DMN 40 W ELP.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

UPPER LOW OFF CENTRAL BAJA WILL BEGIN TO OPEN NEWD BY TONIGHT IN
RESPONSE TO TROUGH AND HEIGHT FALLS SPREADING INTO PAC NW.

OVERNIGHT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT SONORA APPARENTLY ASSOCIATED WITH
SPEED MAX/IMPULSE ROTATING NEWD AROUND CUT-OFF LOW.  LIGHTNING IS ON
THE  DECREASE ATTM AND WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF INSTABILITY
INDICATED ON MORNING SOUNDINGS AT TUS/EPZ THE THREAT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS MAKING IT INTO CONUS EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED TO SERN
AZ/SWRN CORNER NM.  MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF 7C/KM SUPPORT POTENTIAL
FOR ISOLATED STORMS DEVELOPING SERN AZ/SWRN NM BY LATE AFTERNOON AND
POSSIBLY CONTINUING OVERNIGHT AS UPPER LOW SLOWLY APPROACHES FROM
THE SW.

TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING ONSHORE PAC NW...ACCOMPANIED BY MDT MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES WHICH COUPLED WITH LARGE SCALE ASCENT SHOULD
SUPPORT ISOLATED CONVECTION BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.  PRIMARY
THREAT SHOULD OCCUR FROM THE COLD FRONT WWD TO UPPER TROUGH LINE. 
COLD FRONT AT 15Z WAS LOCATED ALONG W SLOPES OF CASCADES AND WILL
REACH NWRN MT BY 00Z.

..HALES.. 02/04/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.