[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Thu Dec 29 00:55:02 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 290054
SWODY1
SPC AC 290053

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0653 PM CST WED DEC 28 2005

VALID 290100Z - 291200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S
AAF TLH 35 NNE DHN 30 SSW CSG 35 NNE MCN 20 NNW AGS 20 W CAE 35 ENE
CAE 35 SSW FLO 15 NE SAV 10 W SSI GNV 30 WSW OCF 60 NNW PIE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW AAF 20 W TLH
TOI 30 SSW HTS 25 N ZZV 45 W ERI 15 WNW ERI 15 SE ERI 20 NNE MGW 15
ESE EKN 35 S CHO RIC 25 NNE SBY 45 SE NEL ...CONT... 35 NNE DAB 35
SSW SRQ.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 WNW OTH 40 E OTH
50 ESE MHS 70 NW BIH 20 ENE MER 80 WSW UKI.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ENE OWY 30 SE BOI
35 SSE MYL 60 SW SMN 35 E SUN 25 SSE BYI 20 W ENV 40 SE EKO 20 WSW
EKO 15 ENE OWY.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES...

...SOUTHEAST...
BAND OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS FROM SC SWWD INTO SRN GA CONTINUES
WITHIN AREA OF STRONG LARGE SCALE ASCENT LOCATED BENEATH LEFT EXIT
REGION OF CYCLONICALLY CURVED MID/UPPER LEVEL JET. BEST
THERMODYNAMIC/KINEMATIC COMBINATION FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL
PERSIST FOR 2-3 HOURS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/SRN GA.

STRONG FORCING WILL SPREAD STORMS E/NEWD THROUGH THE EVENING ACROSS
THE CAROLINAS. HOWEVER...THESE STORMS WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AS THEY
MOVE INTO A REGION WITH LOWER SURFACE DEWPOINTS AND A STABLE
BOUNDARY LAYER. THESE STORM UPDRAFT ROOTS SHOULD BE ELEVATED...SO
THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE HAIL.

...SRN APPALACHIANS...
STRONG CONVERGENCE/FORCING ALONG COLD FRONT HAS RESULTED IN A LINE
OF STORMS MOVING ACROSS THE SRN APPALACHIANS. ALTHOUGH THESE STORMS
ARE MOVING THROUGH A COOL AND STABLE AIR MASS...STEEP LAPSE RATES
ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER MAY SUSTAIN AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM OR TWO
ACROSS NRN GA FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.

...NERN NV/SRN ID...
LINE OF CONVECTION...ALONG LEADING EDGE OF STRONG THERMAL TROUGH
ALOFT...MAY BE MAINTAINED THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS GIVEN AN AREA OF
WEAK INSTABILITY AND STRONG LOW WARM ADVECTION ACROSS THE REGION.

...SWRN ORE/NRN CA...
COLD AIR ALOFT AND STRONG UPSLOPE FLOW MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY ALONG THE SIERRA AND NEAR THE COAST...THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS.

..IMY.. 12/29/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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