[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 171944
SWODY1
SPC AC 171942

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0142 PM CST SAT DEC 17 2005

VALID 172000Z - 181200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 S LCH 35 SE LCH 65
SE GPT ...CONT... 45 SW PFN 50 SE CHS ...CONT... 30 ENE MLB 35 SW
APF.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

AFTERNOON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWED A SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER THE
WRN GULF OF MEXICO...WITH THIS FEATURE EXPECTED TO DE-AMPLIFY AS IT
TRACKS TOWARD THE SRN APPALACHIANS/SERN STATES OVERNIGHT.  AT THE
SURFACE...A BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDED FROM AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE WRN GULF ENEWD TO NEAR TPA AND THEN NEWD TO ALONG AND OFF
THE COAST OF NERN FL.  LARGE SCALE ASCENT WITHIN RIGHT ENTRANCE
REGION OF ASSOCIATED STRONG MID LEVEL JET COMBINED WITH WAA REGIME
ALONG NOSE OF SSWLY LLJ LOCATED EAST OF THE SURFACE LOW ARE EXPECTED
TO MAINTAIN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE GULF.  LIMITED STRIKES
CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR THE COASTS OF WRN/NERN FL ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE IN COVERAGE THIS FORECAST PERIOD AS STRONGER FORCING AND
LIFT SPREAD ACROSS THIS REGION AHEAD OF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH.

WEAK INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS...BUT WILL
PRECLUDE THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

..PETERS.. 12/17/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM