[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 171244
SWODY1
SPC AC 171242

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0642 AM CST SAT DEC 17 2005

VALID 171300Z - 181200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE PBI 55 S APF
...CONT... 45 ESE CRP 20 SE VCT 25 NNW LBX ASD 20 NNW VLD 40 SE CHS.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW REGIME ACROSS THE CONUS IS ANCHORED BY AN
ELONGATED MID LEVEL L0W CENTERED OVER THE GREAT LAKES. AN EMBEDDED
SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS ROTATING EWD OVER TX AROUND THE SRN PERIPHERY OF
THE BROAD LOW...AND THIS WAVE WILL PROGRESS ENEWD TO THE SRN
APPALACHIANS BY EARLY SUNDAY.  AT THE SURFACE...A WEAK WAVE ON THE
BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS THE NW GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE EWD AND
WEAKEN BY TONIGHT OVER THE NERN GULF...WHILE SECONDARY CYCLOGENESIS
OCCURS OFF THE SE ATLANTIC COAST LATE TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE MOST CONCENTRATED OVER THE OPEN WATERS IN PROXIMITY TO THE
SURFACE FRONT AND THE WARMER OCEAN SURFACE/GREATER INSTABILITY. 
STILL... A FEW ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
IMMEDIATE GULF COAST AND FL PENINSULA IN THE REGION OF WAA/ASCENT
ALONG AND N OF THE SURFACE FRONT WHERE MUCAPE VALUES IN THE RANGE OF
100-750 J/KG ARE EXPECTED.

..THOMPSON.. 12/17/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM