[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 180036
SWODY1
SPC AC 180035

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0635 PM CST SAT DEC 17 2005

VALID 180100Z - 181200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE MLB 40 W APF
...CONT... 45 SW PFN 15 WNW VLD 25 S SAV 50 ESE CHS.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...FL/SRN GA...

EVENING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS LOW-LATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH
CURRENTLY OVER THE NWRN GULF OF MEXICO.  THIS FEATURE WILL CONTINUE
NEWD OVERNIGHT...REACHING THE WRN ATLANTIC BY 18/12Z.  FORCING FOR
ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SHORTWAVE TROUGH...COUPLED WITH A BROAD
LOW-LEVEL WAA/ISENTROPIC ASCENT REGIME IS SUPPORTING WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION SHIELD FROM THE CNTRL GULF STATES EWD ACROSS FL...GA
AND SC.  

CURRENTLY...MOST INTENSE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS OCCURRING ACROSS
THE NRN FL PENINSULA...N OF QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM
MLB TO SRQ.  HERE...A MOIST BOUNDARY-LAYER AIR MASS IS BEING LIFTED
ABOVE FRONTAL ZONE...CONTRIBUTING TO MUCAPES OF AROUND 500 J/KG.

WITH APPROACH OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM THE W...EXPECT CONTINUED
REGENERATION OF TSTMS ACROSS THIS SAME CORRIDOR OWING TO THE
PERSISTENT WAA/ISENTROPIC ASCENT ABOVE OUTFLOW-REINFORCED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY.

..MEAD.. 12/18/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM