[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Sat Dec 17 00:51:52 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 170048
SWODY1
SPC AC 170046

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0646 PM CST FRI DEC 16 2005

VALID 170100Z - 171200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...GULF COAST STATES...INCLUDING THE TX COAST AND SOUTH FL...

AIRMASS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO HAS STABILIZED A GREAT DEAL WITH
OFFSHORE CONTINENTAL TRAJECTORIES AND POOR MODIFICATION PROFILES.  A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DRIFTED NORTH INTO THE FL STRAITS OFF OF
CUBA...BUT WEAK FORCING/STEERING CURRENTS WILL PRECLUDE ANY
SIGNIFICANT THREAT ACROSS THE KEYS OR SOUTH FL.

WARM ADVECTION WILL SLOWLY INCREASE ACROSS THE NWRN GULF OF MEXICO
TONIGHT AS OFFSHORE BAROCLINICITY SHARPENS.  00Z SOUNDING FROM BRO
SUGGEST A RATHER PRONOUNCED CAP ABOVE 700MB.  IT APPEARS MUCH OF THE
CONVECTION TONIGHT ALONG COASTAL BOUNDARY WILL PROVE SHALLOW AND TOO
WEAK TO WARRANT ANY MEANINGFUL THREAT FOR LIGHTNING.

..DARROW.. 12/17/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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