[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 161941
SWODY1
SPC AC 161939

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0139 PM CST FRI DEC 16 2005

VALID 162000Z - 171200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW BRO 55 NNE MFE
35 NE CRP 50 SSE LBX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W EYW 25 SSW MIA
40 SE PBI.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN FL...
VIS IMAGERY INDICATED A NARROW LINE OF CU/TCU EXTENDING FROM WELL
OFFSHORE THE ERN SEABOARD SWWD ACROSS THE WRN BAHAMAS TO ABOUT 25
MILES S OF THE SRN TIP OF FL.  MEANWHILE...THE 19Z SURFACE ANALYSIS
CONTINUED TO INDICATE A WEAKER/MORE DIFFUSE BOUNDARY LOCATED OVER
SRN FL.  A STABLE AIRMASS OVER LAND IS EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE THE
POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS FORECAST PERIOD...THOUGH A FEW
STRIKES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG OR IN THE VICINITY OF THE PRE-FRONTAL
TROUGH THAT HAS MOVED OFF THE SRN TIP OF FL.

...TX COAST...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON SHOWED A SHORT WAVE TROUGH
MOVING EWD ACROSS W TX/NRN MEXICO.  WEAK HEIGHT FALLS AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT ALONG OR
JUST OFF THE S TX COAST.  THE COMBINATION OF INCREASING DEEP LAYER
ASCENT WITH THE APPROACH OF THE W TX TROUGH AND RETURN OF LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE OVER THE WRN GULF WILL LIKELY SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT MAINLY OFFSHORE THE S TX COAST LATER TONIGHT.

..PETERS.. 12/16/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM