[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Thu Dec 8 00:46:33 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 080042
SWODY1
SPC AC 080040

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0640 PM CST WED DEC 07 2005

VALID 080100Z - 081200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE PSX 35 N GLS 35
SW POE 35 SSE ESF MCB 15 NNE MOB PFN 15 NNW AAF 35 SE AAF.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

CLOSED LOW ALOFT...LOCATED NORTH OF GLD...IS FORECAST TO MOVE EWD
ALONG THE KS/NEB BORDER OVERNIGHT. IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM
...STRONG LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION SHOULD GENERATE WIDESPREAD 
PRECIPITATION FROM ERN TX/LOWER MS VALLEY NWD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY
AND THE WRN PORTIONS OF THE OH VALLEY. THE LACK OF INSTABILITY
SHOULD PRECLUDE LIGHTNING ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION.

THE EXCEPTION MAY BE FROM SERN TX EWD ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST...WHERE THE EVENING SOUNDING AT CRP AND OVERNIGHT FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SHOW WEAK ELEVATED CAPE. AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH...
CURRENTLY LOCATED FROM HOU TO FSM...WILL SHIFT EWD TONIGHT WITH A
WEAK SURFACE LOW FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT IN THE
GULF SOUTH OF LA. THIS MAY RESULT IN A LITTLE MORE THUNDER COVERAGE
ACROSS SERN LA THAN ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE THUNDER AREA.

CONVECTION OVER THE ERN GULF IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES EWD
INTO A MORE STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER LOCATED ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA.

..IMY.. 12/08/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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