[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Fri Dec 2 12:54:51 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 021250
SWODY1
SPC AC 021249

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0649 AM CST FRI DEC 02 2005

VALID 021300Z - 031200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW UIL 20 SSE UIL
35 E AST SLE 10 ESE EUG 45 ESE OTH 15 W CEC.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW P38 55 E MLF
45 SE CNY 15 WSW DRO 40 N GUP 40 N INW 55 ENE IGM 30 SSE LAS 45 E
DRA 20 WNW P38.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...WA/ORE...
VIGOROUS UPPER TROUGH IS ROTATING INLAND ACROSS BRITISH COLUMBIA AND
WA...WITH STRONG ONSHORE FLOW OCCURRING THIS MORNING ALONG THE
WA/ORE COAST.  THIS WILL ENHANCE OROGRAPHIC LIFT ALONG THE COASTAL
RANGES...BENEATH VERY COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES /-32 TO -34 AT
500MB/.  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST
TODAY...ENDING THIS EVENING AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES INLAND.

...SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN...
SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER CENTRAL CA WILL TRACK EASTWARD INTO THE
SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  AN AXIS OF
STRONGER FORCING FOR VERTICAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ROUGHLY
FROM THE LAS AREA INTO SOUTHWEST CO.  RELATIVELY STEEP LAPSE RATES
AND SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES.


...SOUTHEAST STATES...
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET FROM EAST
TX INTO THE TN VALLEY LATE TONIGHT.  HOWEVER...VERY LIMITED MOISTURE
RETURN AND WEAK LAPSE RATES ARE EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE SIGNIFICANT AIR
MASS DESTABILIZATION.  SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED AFTER DARK
OVER THIS REGION.  HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED AT
THIS TIME.

..HART.. 12/02/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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