[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 230057
SWODY1
SPC AC 230056

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0756 PM CDT MON AUG 22 2005

VALID 230100Z - 231200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W
HLC 40 SW RSL 15 N P28 35 NW END 40 SW GAG 30 N DHT 50 SSE LHX 45
NNW LAA 50 SSW GLD 35 SE GLD 45 W HLC.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW LRD 20 NW CLL
15 NE DAL 35 SSE SPS 35 SSE LBB 40 WNW MRF ...CONT... 75 SSW GBN 30
NW GBN 25 S EED 20 SSE LAS 20 SSE DRA 50 N TPH 15 ENE NFL 85 E 4LW
50 NNE BNO 35 N HVR ...CONT... 70 NNE ISN 30 SW MBG 30 NE FNB 20 E
ALN 20 S HTS 50 SSW PSK 15 ENE RDU ORF.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF WRN KS/NWRN OK
AND THE OK PANHANDLE/THE NRN TX PANHANDLE...

...PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SRN PLAINS...
THOUGH REMNANT SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO WANE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS INVOF BAROCLINIC ZONE STRETCHING FROM THE CAROLINAS
WSWWD INTO THE GULF COAST STATES AND THEN WNWWD INTO OK/CO...MAIN
THREAT APPEARS TO EXIST ACROSS KS/OK AND VICINITY.  AREA RAOBS AND
PROFILER DATA CONFIRM NAM FORECASTS OF MODERATE /25 TO 30 KT/ WLY
MID-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THIS REGION...S OF SLOW-MOVING VORT MAX OVER
NERN CO/WRN NEB.  CONVECTION HAS INCREASED ACROSS ERN CO / NWRN KS
OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...AND WITH SSWLY LOW-LEVEL JET
FORECAST TO INCREASE ACROSS THE TX/OK PANHANDLE REGION...STORMS
SHOULD CONTINUE TO SPREAD SEWD WITH TIME ACROSS KS/INTO OK WHERE
MODERATELY-UNSTABLE AIRMASS EXISTS.  WITH DEGREE OF SHEAR FORECAST
TO SUPPORT AT LEAST MULTICELL ORGANIZATION...THREAT FOR LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL MAY PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. 
THEREFORE...WILL UPGRADE PARTS OF THIS AREA TO SLIGHT RISK.

..GOSS.. 08/23/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.