[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 141953
SWODY1
SPC AC 141952

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0252 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2005

VALID 142000Z - 151200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM WAL 40
SW DCA 15 S EKN CRW 35 WSW LOZ BNA 60 N LIT HRO 10 WSW VIH 30 NE SLO
LUK PIT 30 ESE BFD 15 NW ALB 15 ESE PWM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW BUF 20 NNE GFL
40 ESE AUG ...CONT... 15 WSW CZZ 25 NE RAL 20 NE FAT 40 ENE SCK 60
NW TVL 35 WNW U31 20 WSW DPG 55 N PUC 35 NNE VEL 45 W RWL 20 SSE RIW
55 E JAC 55 ENE SUN 40 WSW 27U 60 ESE S80 55 SW MSO 20 SW 3DU 15 ENE
BZN 25 ESE REJ 15 NW MHE 45 ENE ANW 15 SE DEN 40 W RTN 30 SSW GNT 30
NW CNM 40 SW END 10 S OJC 15 NW LAF 35 E TOL.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SRN NEW ENGLAND WSWWD INTO
THE OZARKS REGION...

...SRN NEW ENGLAND WSWWD INTO PA...
VERY MOIST / UNSTABLE AIRMASS PERSISTS ACROSS THIS REGION S OF COLD
FRONT NOW EXTENDING ROUGHLY FROM SRN NH WSWWD INTO NWRN PA. 
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THIS REGION...WITH
MORE VIGOROUS STORMS LIKELY TO CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING.

THOUGH DEEP-LAYER SHEAR REMAINS FAIRLY LIMITED...MODERATE FLOW
THROUGH A DEEP-LAYER COMBINED WITH DEGREE OF INSTABILITY WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT STRONGER / LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

...OH / TN / MID MS VALLEY REGION...
MODERATELY-UNSTABLE AIRMASS NOW IN PLACE FROM SERN MO / AR ENEWD
ACROSS THE TN / LOWER AND MID OH VALLEYS WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...AHEAD OF WEAK UPPER VORT MAX NOW CENTERED
OVER SWRN MO.  THOUGH DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IS LIMITED...MODERATE WSWLY
FLOW IN APPROXIMATELY THE 850 TO 600 MB LAYER MAY CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT SOME POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WITH PULSE STORMS
-- OR SMALL LINE SEGMENTS.  THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET.

...FL...
WEAK UPPER CIRCULATION AND ASSOCIATED COLD POOL AFFECTING FL ATTM
HAS COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING TO ENHANCE AFTERNOON
DESTABILIZATION ACROSS MUCH OF THE PENINSULA.  AS A RESULT...A
COUPLE OF THE MORE VIGOROUS SEA-BREEZE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE
TO EVOLVE...AND BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY STRONG / DAMAGING
GUSTS BEFORE STORMS WEAKEN THIS EVENING.

..GOSS.. 08/14/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.